Prediction for match Damac — Al Riyadh

Match Odds and Probabilities

The clash between Damac and Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabian Pro League is set for March 5, 2026. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a victory for Damac is priced at 2.24, a draw at 2.99, and a win for Al Riyadh at 3.14. In terms of probabilities, Damac has a 40.61% chance, a draw is at 30.42%, and Al Riyadh stands at 28.97%. Based on these figures, Damac seems to have the edge, though the gap is not significant, which is reflected in the odds for a draw.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Damac has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses. Their last three results are: 26.02.2026 - Al Fateh - Damac - 1-1, 23.02.2026 - Damac - Al Ahli - 0-1, 20.02.2026 - Damac - Al Shabab - 1-3. Al Riyadh has also won 1, drawn 1, and lost 3 in the same period. Their last three matches are: 26.02.2026 - Al Riyadh - Al Ahli - 0-1, 23.02.2026 - Al Shabab - Al Riyadh - 3-1, 19.02.2026 - Al Khaleej - Al Riyadh - 0-2. On average over five matches, Damac maintains 51.8% possession, while Al Riyadh has 44.6%. In terms of yellow cards, Damac averages 2.6 per game, compared to Al Riyadh's 2.2. Damac commits more fouls at 14 per game compared to Al Riyadh's 12.2, and they lead in offsides with 2.8 to Al Riyadh's 0.8. In their last head-to-head on November 6, 2025, Al Riyadh and Damac drew 1-1.

Goals Expectation

In a five-match span, Damac averages a total of 2.4 goals, while Al Riyadh averages 2. Both teams score 0.8 goals per match, with Damac conceding 1.6 and Al Riyadh 1.2. For over 2.5 goals: Damac has 2 out of 5, Al Riyadh has 1 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals: both teams have arguments, but the stats don't fully support a confident over 2.5. Over 1.5 goals in the first half occurred 2 times out of 5 for both teams, and only once in the second half. Damac scores most frequently in the 16-30 and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each), while Al Riyadh distributes their goals evenly across all fifteen-minute intervals, with 20% in each. In terms of goals conceded: Damac is most vulnerable in the 16-30 minute interval (33%), while Al Riyadh is most susceptible at the start (0-15 minutes - 40%) and at the end (76-90 minutes - 40%). Overall, both teams tend towards low-scoring profiles: average goal numbers are modest, over 2.5 goals are not predominant, and neither side stands out in terms of individual totals. Against this backdrop, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.58 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

On average, Damac earns 4.8 corners per match, while Al Riyadh averages 3.8. Over the last 5 matches, the total over 9.5 corners occurred once for Damac and twice for Al Riyadh. Looking at the odds, for a total of 9.5 corners, there are two outcomes: over 9.5 is priced at 1.91, under 9.5 at 1.76. For the corner outcome, Damac is the favorite at 2.04. With these averages, it makes sense to consider a total corners range of 9-10, and note that both teams are not prone to high corner totals. In individual stats, Damac often exceeds 4 corners, while Al Riyadh typically gets around 4 per game. Overall, the match does not promise a high number of set pieces, and a bet on under 9.5 corners seems justified.