Prediction for match Dender — Genk, 01.02.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The Jupiler Pro League continues to offer intriguing matchups, and the clash between Dender and Genk, scheduled for February 1, 2026, promises to be eventful. The odds favor Genk as the favorite: Genk's victory is priced at 1.97, a draw at 3.58, and a win for Dender at 3.85. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Dender - 24.82%, draw - 26.69%, Genk - 48.50%. This setup reflects Genk's greater stability and attacking potential, which is also confirmed by recent match statistics. The goal total options are also interesting: Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.88, and Under 2.5 at 1.95, indicating not the highest confidence in a high-scoring game, despite one team's attacking profile.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Dender averages 46% possession, records an average of 3 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Genk looks more solid: 55% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Dender's last three matches: January 25 - Anderlecht vs Dender 0-0, January 18 - Dender vs Royal Antwerp 1-0, December 27 - Mechelen vs Dender 1-1. Genk's last three results: January 29 - Genk vs Malmö 2-1, January 25 - Genk vs Cercle Brugge 1-1, January 22 - Utrecht vs Genk 0-2. In their head-to-head, note the last encounter: October 5, 2025, Genk vs Dender 2-1. This data shows that Genk more often achieves positive results, while Dender puts up a fight even against strong opponents.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring in their last five matches, Dender has an average of 2 goals per game, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.4 per match. Genk's average total is higher - 3.6, with 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded. As for the over goals: Dender has only 1 out of 5 matches over 2.5 goals, while Genk has 3 out of 5 over 2.5. In the first half, Dender has 1 out of 5 over 1.5, Genk - 2 out of 5. In the second half, Dender again records 1 out of 5 over 1.5, and Genk - 3 out of 5. In terms of goal intervals: Dender scores more often in the first 45 minutes, evenly distributing goals across three 15-minute segments, while Genk is most prolific in the 76-90 minute segment (50%). In terms of conceding: Dender most often concedes between 61 to 75 minutes (43%), Genk - from 76 to 90 (40%). These figures suggest that Genk has a pronounced over-profile, while Dender tends towards low-scoring games. Against this backdrop, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.88 seems logical: Genk consistently scores, and Dender often concedes, especially in the second half. Moreover, Genk's three over 2.5 out of five matches strengthen the argument for a high-scoring game.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For corners, Dender averages 3.8 over 5 matches, Genk - 4.8, totaling 8.6. The frequency of over 9.5 corners for both teams is 2 out of 5. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum is 8.5: over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.57, under at 1.70. For the outcome on corners, Genk is the favorite with odds of 1.59. Considering that both teams rarely exceed the 9.5 mark, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified, especially given Genk's attacking style and frequent deliveries in recent matches. You might also consider betting on Genk to win on corners, given their average and attacking activity.