Prediction for match Dender — Gent

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The match between Dender and Gent in the Jupiler Pro League is scheduled for 22.03.2026. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Gent's win is at 2.11, Dender's win at 3.38, and a draw at 3.60. In terms of probabilities: Gent - 45.24%, Dender - 28.24%, draw - 26.52%. Gent stands out as the favorite according to both odds and probability percentages. The gap in chances between the teams is noticeable, which is reflected in the distribution of odds. Gent's victory has the lowest odds, confirming their status as the stronger side in this matchup.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at secondary indicators, Dender's averages over 5 matches are: ball possession - 48.8%, yellow cards - 1.6, fouls - 9.6, offsides - 1.2. Gent's are: possession - 46.4%, yellow cards - 1.4, fouls - 8.8, offsides - 1.4. In their last three encounters, Dender played as follows: 14.03.2026 Union Saint-Gilloise - Dender 2-0, 07.03.2026 Dender - Charleroi 2-2, 01.03.2026 Cercle Brugge - Dender 0-0. Gent's last three matches: 13.03.2026 Gent - Zulte Waregem 2-0, 08.03.2026 Gent - Mechelen 3-1, 01.03.2026 Genk - Gent 3-0. The last head-to-head meeting was on 19.09.2025: Gent - Dender 3-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Dender has an average of 3.2 goals per game, while Gent has 3.0. Dender scores an average of 1 goal per game, conceding 2.2, while Gent scores 1.6 and concedes 1.4. For over 2.5 goals: both teams have 3 out of 5 matches over. In the first half, Dender has 3 out of 5 over 1.5, Gent has 1 out of 5. In the second half, both teams recorded 4 out of 5 over 1.5. For scoring intervals, Dender's most frequent periods are 16-30 (25%), 31-45 (25%), and 76-90 (25%). For Gent, it's 31-45 (30%) and 76-90 (30%). For goals conceded, Dender most often concedes late (76-90, 33%), while Gent concedes most frequently between 61-75 (43%). Overall, both teams tend to have high-scoring finishes and show a strong over-profile in second halves. Considering the average goal stats, frequency of over 2.5, and second-half activity, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.85 seems logical for this match.

Corner Totals Analysis

On average, Dender earns 5 corners per game, Gent - 4.2. Over 5 matches, Dender has 5 out of 5 on over 9.5 corners, Gent - 3 out of 5. Looking at the odds, over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.73, under 9.5 at 1.97. Gent is favored for the corner outcome with odds of 1.81. Based on the average activity of both teams and the frequent occurrence of over 9.5 totals, a bet on over 9.5 corners looks justified. Also, considering Gent's favorite status in this component, a bet on Gent to win on corners can be considered.