Prediction for match Dender — Westerlo, 29.11.2025

Match Analysis: Dender vs Westerlo

The Jupiler Pro League continues to offer an exciting schedule, and on November 29, we have the match between Dender and Westerlo. According to the 1X2 odds, Westerlo is the favorite: their victory is priced at 2.45, while Dender's win is at 2.77, and a draw is at 3.60. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Dender - 34.48%, draw - 26.53%, Westerlo - 38.99%. The gap between the teams in terms of chances is minimal, so we expect a tightly contested game where both teams have a decent shot at a positive result. Westerlo is slightly more favored, but Dender is also capable of putting up a fight.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five-match series, Dender's average ball possession is 44.8%, fouls - 12.8, yellow cards - 1.8, offsides - 2. Westerlo has higher possession at 56.8%, fouls - 11.2, yellow cards - 1.4, offsides - 1.2. Recent results for Dender include: 23.11 - Royal Antwerp vs Dender 1-2, 07.11 - Dender vs Zulte Waregem 2-2, 01.11 - Club Brugge vs Dender 2-1. Westerlo's last three matches: 22.11 - Westerlo vs Gent 0-0, 08.11 - Charleroi vs Westerlo 2-0, 02.11 - Westerlo vs Genk 0-1. In their head-to-head on 25.10, Westerlo and Dender finished 1-1, with the total under 2.5 not being surpassed.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Dender has shown scoring potential: the total over 2.5 was achieved 4 out of 5 times, while Westerlo's matches never exceeded 2.5 goals (0 out of 5). For Dender, only once in the first half did the total exceed 1.5 goals, but in the second half, it was 3 out of 5. Westerlo didn't have any matches with over 1.5 goals in either half in the last 5 games. On average, Dender scores 3.2 goals per game, while Westerlo scores just 1 goal. Dender scores 1.4 and concedes 1.8, while Westerlo scores 0.2 and concedes 0.8. Dender most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (43%), and Westerlo between the 61st and 75th minutes (67%). In terms of goals conceded, Dender's most vulnerable period is the 76th to 90th minutes (33%), while Westerlo's are the 0-15 and 31-45 minute intervals (50% each). Statistics indicate Dender's advantage in attacking potential, while Westerlo struggles with converting chances. The most logical bet seems to be on total under 2.5 at odds of 2.24, considering Westerlo hardly scores and Dender rarely has high-scoring first halves.

Corners in the Match

On average, Dender earns 4 corners per match, Westerlo - 6.2, totaling 10.2. In the last 5 matches, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 3 times for both teams. The line for total corners closest to the average sum is 9.5: total corners over 9.5 is at 1.68, under 9.5 is at 2.03. Westerlo is favored in the corners market with odds of 1.92. Given the teams' wing play and frequency of over 9.5 corners, a bet on total corners over 9.5 seems justified.