Prediction for match Dender — Standard Liege, 02.12.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Belgian Cup on December 2, Dender will face Standard Liege. According to the 1X2 odds, Standard Liege is the favorite with odds of 2.45, Dender at 2.80, and a draw is priced at 3.26. The probability distribution is: Dender win - 33.31%, draw - 28.61%, Standard Liege win - 38.07%. This setup reflects a slight advantage for Standard Liege according to the bookmakers. The tournament stage is not specified, but the match promises to be crucial for both teams given the close odds and probability assessments.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Dender has an average possession of 43%, receives 2.4 yellow cards, commits 12.8 fouls, and has 2.2 offsides per game. Standard Liege, over the same period, averages 48.8% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per match. Recently, Dender drew 2-2 with Westerlo (29.11), won 2-1 against Royal Antwerp (23.11), and finished 2-2 with Zulte Waregem (07.11). Standard Liege won 1-0 against Mechelen (28.11), had a 0-0 draw with Zulte Waregem (21.11), and lost 0-1 to Sint-Truiden (09.11). In their head-to-head meeting on August 2 this year, the teams played to a 1-1 draw.

Goals by Match Statistics

Over the last five matches, Dender has shown a productive profile: 4 out of 5 times the total went over 2.5, with an average of 3.2 goals per match, scoring and conceding an average of 1.6 each. By halves, Dender had 2 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half and 3 out of 5 in the second half. Standard Liege is less productive: only 2 out of 5 went over 2.5, with an average total of 2 goals, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2. By halves, Standard Liege had 2 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half and only 1 out of 5 in the second. In intervals, Dender most frequently scores between the 16-30 and 76-90 minute marks (25% each), and concedes between 46-60 minutes (33%). Standard Liege most frequently scores between 46-60 minutes (38%), and concedes between 31-45 and 46-60 minutes (50% each). This profile suggests that Dender is inclined to high-scoring matches, while Standard Liege plays more cautiously but can concede in the second half. Considering Dender's frequent overs of 2.5 and Standard Liege's moderate scoring, a total over 2.25 at 1.71 seems a reasonable main prediction.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Dender and Standard Liege average 3.6 corners per match over their last five games. In the last five games, Dender had a total of over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 matches, while Standard Liege had 1 out of 5. Among the proposed corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (7.2) is 8.5: over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.70, under 8.5 at 1.75. For the outcome on corners, Standard Liege is the favorite with odds of 2.11. Given both teams' stats, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified, especially if Dender is active in attack.