Prediction for match Dender — Union Saint-Gilloise, 14.01.2026

Match Analysis: Dender vs Union Saint-Gilloise

In the Belgian Cup on January 14, 2026, Dender will face Union Saint-Gilloise. According to the 1X2 odds, Union Saint-Gilloise is the favorite with odds of 1.45, which translates to a 64.63% probability. Dender is at 6.90 (13.58%), and a draw is at 4.30 (21.79%). This indicates a significant advantage for Union Saint-Gilloise according to the bookmakers. Goal total options are: Over 2.5 at 1.79, Under 2.5 at 1.99, both teams to score: yes - 1.93, no - 1.78. The odds for Union Saint-Gilloise to score over 1.5 goals are 1.53, and over 2.25 goals for the match is 1.56. Double chance options are: 1.08 for X2, 1.19 for 12, 2.66 for 1X. This provides a wide range of betting options for both result and goal totals.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Dender has an average ball possession of 47.6%, receives 2.8 yellow cards, commits 11.6 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Union Saint-Gilloise averages 53.4% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 4.4 offsides. Dender's last three matches: 27.12.2025 - Mechelen vs Dender - 1-1, 20.12.2025 - Dender vs Standard Liège - 0-1, 14.12.2025 - Dender vs Brugge - 1-5. Union Saint-Gilloise's recent games: 26.12.2025 - Cercle Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise - 1-1, 20.12.2025 - Union Saint-Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem - 2-0, 14.12.2025 - Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise - 1-1. In their last encounter on 13.09.2025, Dender lost to Union Saint-Gilloise 0-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Dender has averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per game, with a total goal average of 3.2 per game. Union Saint-Gilloise averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, totaling 2.6 goals per match. Regarding over 2.5 goals: Dender has 3 out of 5 matches over, while Union Saint-Gilloise has 1 out of 5. By halves: Dender has 3 out of 5 over 1.5 goals in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second, Union Saint-Gilloise has 2 out of 5 in the first and 1 out of 5 in the second. Dender most often scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (40%), and concedes between the 61st and 75th minutes (33%). Union Saint-Gilloise has three scoring peaks: 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes, each at 29%; they concede most often in the first 15 minutes (33%) and between the 31st and 45th minutes (33%). Considering the average scoring of both teams, Dender's over 2.5 record, and the odds for over 2.25 (1.56), betting on over 2.25 goals seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

In terms of corners, Dender averages 3 per game over 5 matches, while Union Saint-Gilloise averages 4.8. For over 9.5 corners: Dender has 1 out of 5, and Union Saint-Gilloise has 0 out of 5. The closest average total is 7.5, but the line offers a total of 9.5: over 9.5 at 2.85, under 9.5 at 1.33. The option for under 9.5 corners looks preferable, considering the low productivity in this category for both teams. There is no clear favorite in corner outcomes with odds below 2.0. Overall, betting on a lower corner total based on the recent games' statistics seems logical.