Prediction for match Deportivo La Coruna — Atletico Madrid

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Copa del Rey on January 13, 2026, Deportivo La Coruna will face Atletico Madrid. According to the 1X2 odds, Atletico Madrid is the favorite with odds of 1.40, a draw is priced at 4.99, and a win for Deportivo La Coruna is at 8.55. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Deportivo La Coruna win - 11.34%, draw - 19.43%, Atletico Madrid win - 69.24%. This indicates a significant advantage for Atletico Madrid, which is also supported by other statistical parameters of the teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Deportivo La Coruna averages 50.4% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 9 fouls, and has 1.8 offsides per game. Atletico Madrid shows 52.4% possession, 1 yellow card, 12.2 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. Recent matches for Deportivo La Coruna: 10.01.2026 - Las Palmas 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna, 04.01.2026 - Deportivo La Coruna 2-2 Cadiz, 20.12.2025 - FC Andorra 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna. For Atletico Madrid: 08.01.2026 - Atletico Madrid 1-2 Real Madrid, 04.01.2026 - Real Sociedad 1-1 Atletico Madrid, 21.12.2025 - Girona 0-3 Atletico Madrid. In their last head-to-head on 01.04.2018, Atletico Madrid defeated Deportivo La Coruna 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Deportivo La Coruna's average total goals are 2.2, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.4 per game. Atletico Madrid's average total is 3.2, scoring 2 and conceding 1.2. In a five-game series, Deportivo La Coruna had over 2.5 goals in 2 matches, under in 3, while Atletico Madrid had over in 4, under in 1. By halves, Deportivo La Coruna had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 times, in the second half 1 time. Atletico Madrid had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 times, in the second half 4 times out of 5. Goal intervals: Deportivo La Coruna scores most frequently between 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (33% each), concedes mainly in the final minutes (76-90 minutes - 50%). Atletico Madrid scores most frequently in the intervals 16-30, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (29% each), and concedes evenly across four different periods. Considering Atletico Madrid's high scoring rate and frequent over 2.5 totals, a bet on Over 2.5 at 1.70 seems justified.

Corners in the Match

Deportivo La Coruna averages 4.6 corners, while Atletico Madrid averages 6.2 per game. In the last five matches, Deportivo La Coruna had over 9.5 corners 2 times, Atletico Madrid 4 times. The line for total corners closest to the average is 10.5, but there is a market for 9.5: Total corners over 9.5 - 2.10, under 9.5 - 1.72. Given this profile, considering the frequency of overs for Atletico Madrid and the average indicators for both teams, it makes sense to look at over 9.5 corners, considering both teams' tendency for active wing play, which leads to a high number of corners.