Prediction for match Derby County — Blackburn Rovers

Match Analysis: Derby County vs Blackburn Rovers

In the English Championship on February 28, Derby County will face Blackburn Rovers. The odds for a Derby County win are 2.15, a draw is at 3.22, and a Blackburn Rovers victory is priced at 3.42. According to probabilities, the chances are distributed as follows: 43.55% for a Derby County win, 29.08% for a draw, and 27.38% for a Blackburn Rovers win. Based on these odds, Derby County is the favorite, but the gap between the teams is not significant, which could add intrigue to the match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Derby County played as follows: 24.02.2026 - Hull City vs Derby County - 4-2, 21.02.2026 - Watford vs Derby County - 2-0, 14.02.2026 - Derby County vs Swansea City - 2-0. Blackburn Rovers' recent results are: 24.02.2026 - Blackburn Rovers vs Bristol City - 1-2, 20.02.2026 - Blackburn Rovers vs Preston North End - 1-0, 14.02.2026 - QPR vs Blackburn Rovers - 1-3. Looking at head-to-head encounters, the last game between these teams was on 08.11.2025: Blackburn Rovers vs Derby County - 1-2. Over a five-match span, Derby County averages 45.4% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 11.4 fouls, and records 1.6 offsides per game. Blackburn Rovers have 44.6% possession, also 2 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Derby County shows scoring efficiency: the average number of goals in their matches is 3.6, with the team scoring 2 and conceding 1.6 per game. Blackburn Rovers have an average total of 2.2, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1. In terms of matches over 2.5 goals: Derby County had 3 out of 5 games being high-scoring, while Blackburn Rovers had 2 out of 5. By halves, Derby County had 2 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half and 4 out of 5 in the second half, indicating a trend towards more activity after the break. Blackburn Rovers had 2 out of 5 for over 1.5 in the first half and only 1 out of 5 in the second. In terms of goal intervals: Derby County most frequently scores between 61-75 minutes (33%) and concedes evenly at 22% in each of the intervals 0-15, 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90. Blackburn Rovers most often score in two intervals - 0-15 and 76-90 (33% each), and concede in the intervals 16-30 and 31-45 (40% each). Overall, the statistics of both teams regarding totals and goal dynamics support a bet on over 2.0 goals, offered at 1.60.

Corners: Figures and Possible Bets

Derby County averages 3 corners over the last five matches, while Blackburn Rovers average 4.8. Regarding matches with over 9.5 corners: both teams had 2 out of 5 matches exceeding this total. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (7.8) is 8.5, with both options available: over 8.5 corners at 1.47, under 8.5 at 2.44. For corner outcomes, Derby County is favored with odds of 1.70. Overall, the teams' corner statistics do not indicate a clear bias towards a high total, but a bet on Derby County to win on corners seems logical given the current figures.