Prediction for match Derby County — Portsmouth

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the English Championship on December 20, Derby County will face Portsmouth. Derby County is favored with odds of 2.04 for a win, a draw is priced at 3.20, and a Portsmouth victory is at 3.78. According to probabilities, Derby County has a 45.93% chance to win, a draw has a 29.28% chance, and Portsmouth has a 24.79% chance. The over 2.5 goals total is offered at 2.19, indicating moderate expectations for scoring. The both teams to score option: yes is at 1.90, no at 1.80. The odds for over 2.0 goals are 1.61, and for under 2.5, it's 1.65.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Derby County defeated Sheffield Wednesday 3-0, drew 1-1 with Millwall, and lost 1-3 to Leicester. During the same period, Portsmouth beat Blackburn Rovers 2-1, lost 0-1 to Swansea City, and fell 0-1 to Bristol City. Over the last five games, Derby County averaged 41.8% possession, 2 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per match. Portsmouth had 47.8% possession, 2.2 yellows, 9.8 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In their last head-to-head on April 12, 2025, the teams drew 2-2.

Goals in the Derby County vs Portsmouth Match

In a five-match series, Derby County has an average total of 3 goals, while Portsmouth averages 2.4. Derby County scores an average of 1.6 and concedes 1.4, while Portsmouth scores 1 and concedes 1.4. Derby County has surpassed the over 2.5 goals line in 4 of 5 matches, and Portsmouth in 3 of 5. There was only one instance of more than 1.5 goals in the first half for Derby County and none for Portsmouth. However, in the second half, Derby County has 4 out of 5 over 1.5, and Portsmouth has 3 out of 5. Derby County most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (60%), while Portsmouth also scores most often in this interval (33%). Derby County most often concedes at the beginning (0-15 minutes, 30%) and at the end of the first half (31-45 minutes, 30%). Portsmouth has three intervals at 33%: 16-30, 31-45, and 61-75 minutes. Given the high average scoring, the occurrence of over 2.5 goals, and second-half activity, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.19 seems justified.

Corner Bets

Derby County averages 6.2 corners per match, Portsmouth 4.4. In the last five matches, the total corners over 9.5 was recorded twice for both teams. Among the available totals for corners, the closest to the average sum (10.6) is the line of 10.5: over 10.5 corners is at 2.02, under 10.5 at 1.53. In corner outcomes, Derby County is the favorite with odds of 1.50. With these figures, it makes sense to consider betting on Derby County's individual corners over 5.5 or the total over 10.5, considering their averages and the frequency of over 9.5 occurrences.