Prediction for match Derby County — Sheffield United

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the English Championship on May 2, Derby County will face Sheffield United. According to the bookmakers, Derby County is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.76, which corresponds to a 53.22% probability. A draw is offered at 3.94 (23.77%), and a win for Sheffield United at 4.07 (23.01%). The goal total markets are also interesting: over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.63, and "both teams to score: yes" is at 1.59. Overall, the odds and percentages suggest that Derby County has the upper hand in the eyes of analysts, but Sheffield United is capable of putting up a fight.

Team Results and Statistics

Derby County has won two of their last three matches: on April 25, QPR - Derby County 2-3, on April 21, Norwich City - Derby County 2-1, on April 18, Derby County - Oxford United 1-0. Sheffield United played as follows in the same period: on April 25, Sheffield United - Preston North End 2-3, on April 22, Sheffield United - Blackburn Rovers 1-3, on April 18, Watford - Sheffield United 0-2. In their last head-to-head meeting on November 1, 2025, Sheffield United lost to Derby County 1-3. In secondary metrics over a five-match span, Derby County averages 49.4% possession, 13.4 fouls, 2.8 yellow cards, and 1.2 offsides. Sheffield United has higher possession at 60.6%, with 7.6 fouls, 2.2 yellow cards, and 2.6 offsides. These figures reflect a difference in style: Derby County plays more aggressively, while Sheffield United prefers to control possession and is more often caught offside.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams show a tendency for high-scoring games. Over the last five matches, Derby County has an average total of 2.8 goals, while Sheffield United has 3. Derby County scores an average of 1.6 goals per game and concedes 1.2, while Sheffield United scores 1.4 and concedes 1.6. In a series of five matches, the over 2.5 goals bet has hit 3 times for both teams, and over 1.5 goals in the first half was recorded twice for each. In the second half, Derby County is more productive: over 1.5 goals occurred 4 times out of 5, and for Sheffield United, 3 times out of 5. In terms of goal intervals, Derby County most often scores between the 46th and 60th minute (30%), and concedes at the end (76th-90th minute, 40%). Sheffield United scores half of their goals in the last 15 minutes, while most of their conceded goals come in the first 15 minutes (33%). All this indicates a high probability of a high-scoring match, especially in the second half. Considering the average scoring, over 2.5 goals hits, and end-of-game activity, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.63 looks justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Derby County averages 4.4 corners per match, while Sheffield United averages 6.6, totaling 11. Over the last five games, the over 9.5 corners bet hit twice for Derby County and three times for Sheffield United. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum is 11, with odds of over 11 corners at 2.32 and under 11 at 1.52. In the corners market, Derby County is favored with odds of 1.44. Based on the average activity of both teams and the frequency of hitting high totals, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 11 corners, or to focus on Sheffield United’s individual performance, as they consistently deliver more than 6 corners per game.