Prediction for match Derby County — Watford, 22.11.2025

Match Analysis: Derby County vs Watford

In the English Championship on November 22, Derby County will face Watford. The odds for the main outcome are as follows: a Derby County win is priced at 2.56, Watford's success at 2.79, and a draw at 3.10. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Derby County 36.45%, draw 30.10%, Watford 33.45%. These figures suggest that the teams are approaching the match without a clear dominance from either side, with the draw also having a significant share.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Derby County has an average possession of 38%, with averages of 1.8 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Watford has slightly higher possession at 47.2%, with 1.6 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In Derby County's last three matches: November 8 - Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Derby County, November 4 - Derby County 2-1 Hull City, November 1 - Sheffield United 1-3 Derby County. Watford played as follows: November 7 - Watford 1-1 Bristol City, November 4 - Ipswich Town 1-1 Watford, November 1 - Watford 3-0 Middlesbrough. In their head-to-head on January 18, 2025, Derby County lost to Watford 0-2, with the total under 2.5. Previous encounters between these teams have seen both high-scoring and low-scoring outcomes.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five matches, Derby County has an average of 2.4 goals per game, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.6. Watford averages 2.8 goals per game, with 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded. Both teams have had over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches. By halves, Derby County had more than 1.5 goals in the first half only once out of 5, and twice in the second half. Watford, on the other hand, had more than 1.5 goals in the first half in all 5 matches, but never in the second half. Derby County most frequently scores between 61-75 minutes (33%), while Watford scores most in the first 15 minutes (40%). In terms of goals conceded: Derby County is most vulnerable between 16-30 and 46-60 minutes (33% each), and Watford between 16-30 minutes (50%). These data suggest that both teams are prone to exchanging goals, especially in the second half. Considering the average statistics and frequency of total goals, it's logical to consider a bet on both teams to score: yes at 1.88.

Corners Statistics

Derby County averages 4.6 corners per match, Watford 4.4. In 5 matches, Derby County surpassed the total of over 9.5 corners 4 times, Watford 2 times. The odds for the total corners: over 8.5 is at 1.50, under 10.5 also at 1.50. A win on corners for Derby County is priced at 2.10, for Watford at 2.16. Given these figures, it's logical to consider a bet on the total corners over 8.5, considering Derby County's recent match frequency.