Prediction for match Derby County — West Bromwich, 23.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the English Championship on January 23, Derby County will face West Bromwich. The odds for a Derby County win are 2.54, for West Bromwich's victory - 2.94, and a draw is priced at 3.00. The probability of a Derby County win is estimated at 36.89%, a draw at 31.24%, and a West Bromwich win at 31.87%. This suggests that bookmakers do not have a clear favorite, promising a tense encounter. The odds on main totals and both teams to score also indicate a balanced match.

Review of Recent Matches

In their last five matches, Derby County secured two victories: 2-1 against Charlton Athletic and 1-0 against Middlesbrough, lost to Leeds 1-3 and Wrexham 1-2, and also defeated Preston North End 1-0. West Bromwich, in the same period, lost to Norwich City 0-5, Middlesbrough 2-3, played a high-scoring game with Swansea City 7-8, and lost to Leicester 1-2 and Swansea City 0-1. In their last head-to-head on September 13, 2025, West Bromwich lost to Derby County 0-1. Additional stats over five games: Derby County had an average possession of 41.2%, committed 12.4 fouls, 1 offside, and received 2.6 yellow cards. West Bromwich showed 45.8% possession, 12.2 fouls, 1.2 offsides, and also 2.6 yellow cards.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Match Derby County - West Bromwich

In terms of goal scoring, the teams show different profiles. Derby County has an average total of 2.4 goals in their last five matches, scoring and conceding 1.2 per game. West Bromwich has a higher average total of 3.6, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.6. In 5 matches, Derby County's total over 2.5 occurred 3 times, under 2 - 2 times. West Bromwich's total over 2.5 was recorded 4 times, under - 1 time. By halves: Derby County had more than 1.5 goals in the first half 2 times, under - 3 times, in the second half over 1.5 - 2, under - 3. West Bromwich had over 1.5 in the first half 1 time, under - 4, in the second half over 1.5 - 3, under - 2. By goal intervals: Derby County most often scores between 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (50% each), and concedes between 46-60 minutes (44%). West Bromwich most frequently scores in the 61-75 and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each), and concedes between 46-60 minutes (30%). Given West Bromwich's high scoring and both teams' frequent over 2.5 totals, a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.73 seems justified.

Corner Bets

Derby County averages 6.2 corners per match, West Bromwich - 5.6. In a five-match series, Derby County's total corners over 9.5 happened 4 times, West Bromwich - 2. Among available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (11.8) is 11.5. The total corners over 11.5 is priced at 2.87, under 11.5 - at 1.33. Derby County is the favorite for corner outcomes with odds of 1.98. Considering both teams' averages and the frequency of over 9.5 corners, a bet on over 11.5 corners is risky, while under 11.5 looks more reliable.