Prediction for match Derry City — St Patrick's Athletic

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The match between Derry City and St Patrick's Athletic in the Irish Premier Division will take place on 22.05.2026. Bookmakers have set the odds for a Derry City win at 2.78, a draw at 3.24, and a St Patrick's Athletic win at 2.48. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Derry City - 33.57%, draw - 28.80%, St Patrick's Athletic - 37.63%. According to the odds and probabilities, St Patrick's Athletic has a slight edge, but the gap between the teams is not significant. Total goals options are: over 2.0 at 1.58, over 2.5 at 2.16, both teams to score - yes at 1.84, no at 1.86. A double chance on Derry City or a draw is priced at 1.50, which might be an appealing choice for cautious bettors.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Derry City averages 57.6% possession, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 12.2 fouls, and records 1.2 offsides per game. St Patrick's Athletic shows 55.6% possession, 1.6 yellows, 8 fouls, and 1 offside. Derry City's last three matches: 15.05.2026 - Waterford vs Derry City - 2-2, 08.05.2026 - Drogheda United vs Derry City - 1-0, 04.05.2026 - Derry City vs Galway United - 1-1. St Patrick's Athletic: 15.05.2026 - St Patrick's Athletic vs Shelbourne - 0-1, 08.05.2026 - St Patrick's Athletic vs Waterford - 4-1, 04.05.2026 - Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athletic - 1-1. In their last head-to-head on 16.03.2026, St Patrick's Athletic and Derry City played to a 0-0 draw.

Goals Statistics

In their last five matches, Derry City scores and concedes an average of 1 goal per game, with an average total of 2. Over 2.5 goals have been seen in only 1 of Derry City's last 5 matches, while St Patrick's Athletic has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5. In first halves, Derry City has 0 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals, while St Patrick's Athletic has 3 out of 5. In second halves, Derry City has 1 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals, and St Patrick's Athletic has 2 out of 5. St Patrick's Athletic averages 2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, with a total average of 3.2. By intervals: Derry City most often scores between the 46th and 60th minute (50%), and concedes in the 31st-45th minute (50%). St Patrick's Athletic scores most frequently in the 31st-45th and 46th-60th minutes (30% each), and concedes mostly in the first 15 minutes (67%). Considering St Patrick's Athletic's higher scoring rate and frequent over 2.5 goal matches, betting on over 2.0 goals at 1.58 seems logical - both teams have the potential for a high-scoring game, especially in the second half.

Corners in the Match

Derry City averages 6 corners per match, while St Patrick's Athletic averages 5.2. Over the last 5 games, Derry City has seen over 9.5 corners once, while St Patrick's Athletic has seen it 3 times. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (11.2) is 10.5: over 10.5 corners at 2.35, under 10.5 at 1.51. Statistically, St Patrick's Athletic tends to play over on corners, while Derry City tends to play under. In this match, considering St Patrick's Athletic's attacking activity and frequent overs, betting on over 10.5 corners could be considered, though cautious bettors should note Derry City's tendency for unders.