Prediction for match Dinamo Zagreb — HNK Gorica

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On March 1st, a Croatian HNL match will take place between Dinamo Zagreb and HNK Gorica. According to the 1X2 odds, Dinamo Zagreb is the clear favorite: their victory is offered at 1.36, a draw is priced at 4.70, and HNK Gorica's success is at 8.00. The probability distribution for the outcomes is as follows: Dinamo Zagreb - 68.52%, draw - 19.83%, HNK Gorica - 11.65%. This setup reflects Dinamo Zagreb's noticeable advantage in all key parameters, as confirmed by recent match statistics. The options for total goals are quite varied: over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.77, under 2.5 goals at 2.00. Both teams to score: yes is at 2.05, no at 1.69. For individual totals, Dinamo Zagreb over 1.5 goals is at 1.52, and over 2 goals is at 1.90. For HNK Gorica, their individual total over 0.5 goals is at 1.90. The option for total goals over 2.25 is priced at 1.54, and over 2.75 at 1.93. For the second half, over 1.5 goals is at 2.01. All these odds indicate an expectation of a high-scoring game with a clear advantage for Dinamo Zagreb.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Dinamo Zagreb has shown high scoring and confident ball possession. The average possession is 55.6%, with 1.6 yellow cards per game, 10.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. HNK Gorica over the same period shows 45.4% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 2 offsides on average per match. In their last three matches, Dinamo Zagreb played as follows: February 26, 2026 - Genk - Dinamo Zagreb - 3-3, February 22, 2026 - Varazdin - Dinamo Zagreb - 0-4, February 19, 2026 - Dinamo Zagreb - Genk - 1-3. HNK Gorica in their last three matches: February 21, 2026 - Istra 1961 - HNK Gorica - 0-2, February 15, 2026 - HNK Gorica - Vukovar - 0-0, February 06, 2026 - Lokomotiva Zagreb - HNK Gorica - 3-0. In the last head-to-head meeting on December 1, 2025, HNK Gorica lost to Dinamo Zagreb 0-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Dinamo Zagreb's total over 2.5 occurred 4 times, under 2.5 once. For HNK Gorica, over 2.5 happened 2 times, under 3 times. The average number of goals in Dinamo Zagreb's matches is 3.6, for HNK Gorica - 1.8. Dinamo Zagreb scores an average of 2.4 goals per game, conceding 1.2. HNK Gorica scores 0.8, conceding 1. By halves, Dinamo Zagreb had over 1.5 goals in the first half once out of 5, in the second half - 3 out of 5. HNK Gorica had over 1.5 in the first half 2 out of 5, in the second - 1 out of 5. By goal intervals: Dinamo Zagreb most often scores between 46-60 minutes (33%), and concedes in the same interval 40%. HNK Gorica most often scores between 16-30 minutes (40%), and concedes in two intervals: 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (33% each). This statistics suggest a high probability of a high-scoring match with Dinamo Zagreb's advantage, especially in the second half. The over 2.5 total for both teams and average goals support the bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.77.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Dinamo Zagreb averages 6.4 corners per game, HNK Gorica - 5.2. In the last five matches, both teams had over 9.5 corners 3 times out of 5. The line offers a couple of corner totals: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.92, under at 1.78. Based on average figures and frequency, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical. On the corner outcome, Dinamo Zagreb is the favorite with odds of 1.10. This corner dynamics confirms the active play of both teams in attack, which can lead to a large number of flank deliveries. It is also worth noting that Dinamo Zagreb consistently maintains a high level on corners, and HNK Gorica can keep up the pace in this regard.