On November 22, in Croatia, Dinamo Zagreb will face Varazdin as part of the HNL tournament. The odds for a Dinamo Zagreb win are 1.34, a draw is at 4.75, and a Varazdin victory is at 8.60. The probabilities of the outcomes are distributed as follows: Dinamo Zagreb - 69.54%, draw - 19.62%, Varazdin - 10.84%. The odds and percentages clearly highlight Dinamo Zagreb as the favorite in this encounter.
In the last five matches, Dinamo Zagreb averaged 63.4% possession, received 2 yellow cards, committed 9.6 fouls, and had 1.4 offsides per game. Varazdin lags in these metrics: 45% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and only 0.2 offsides. Looking at the last three matches for each team: Dinamo Zagreb lost to Istra 1961 (1-2, 09.11), was defeated by Celta (0-3, 06.11), and beat Rijeka (2-1, 01.11). Varazdin defeated Rijeka (1-0, 09.11), drew with Osijek (0-0, 02.11), and lost to Slaven Belupo (1-3, 25.10). In their last head-to-head on August 30, the teams drew 2-2, with the total over 2.5 goals being surpassed.
In a five-match series, Dinamo Zagreb surpassed the total over 2.5 goals three times, while Varazdin did so twice. In the first half, both teams have two instances of surpassing the total over 1.5 goals in five games, and only one in the second half. On average, Dinamo Zagreb scored 0.8 goals and conceded 1.6, while Varazdin scored 1 and conceded 1 per match. Dinamo Zagreb's most frequent scoring interval is 31-45 minutes (33%), while Varazdin's goals are evenly distributed with 25% in four intervals: 0-15, 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90. For goals conceded, Dinamo Zagreb's 33% occur in the 76-90 minute interval, and Varazdin's 33% occur in both the 31-45 and 46-60 intervals. Considering the average scoring and goal distribution of both teams, as well as the frequency of surpassing the total over 2.5 goals (3 out of 5 for Dinamo Zagreb), it is optimal to consider betting on the total over 2.5 goals.
In terms of corners, Dinamo Zagreb significantly outperforms their opponent, averaging 8.8 corners per game compared to Varazdin's 2.8. In the last five matches, Dinamo Zagreb surpassed the total over 9.5 corners three times, while Varazdin did so twice. The odds for total corners: over 10.0 is at 2.25, under 10.0 is at 1.67. The outcome for corners also leans in favor of Dinamo Zagreb, with a victory priced at 1.14. Given Dinamo Zagreb's high activity in corner kicks, it is logical to expect the team to surpass Varazdin in this metric again, with the total number of corners likely reaching the upper limit of the line.
Sportwars.net Prediction for the match Dinamo Zagreb vs Varazdin, 2025-11-22 - Total over 2.5 goals, odds 1.73. Correct score: 2:1, odds 7.00.


