Prediction for match Dukla Praha — Karviná

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The match between Dukla Praha and Karviná in the Czech First Liga is set for 18.04.2026. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Karviná is priced at 2.42, while a victory for Dukla Praha is at 2.77, and a draw is valued at 3.28. Looking at the probability percentages, Karviná has a 38.29% chance, Dukla Praha stands at 33.45%, and a draw is at 28.25%. These figures suggest that Karviná is the likeliest winner, although the gap between the teams is not significant. In other markets, "Both Teams to Score: Yes" is at 1.64, with the opposite at 2.13. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.83, while under 2.5 is at 1.92. Thus, bookmakers are expecting a high-scoring match with a strong likelihood of both teams finding the net.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Dukla Praha played as follows: on 12.04.2026 Mlada Boleslav - Dukla Praha 1-1, on 04.04.2026 Dukla Praha - Pardubice 0-2, and on 14.03.2026 Dukla Praha - Jablonec 2-0. Karviná's last three results were: on 12.04.2026 Karviná - Slovan Liberec 3-1, on 05.04.2026 Sparta Praha - Karviná 2-0, and on 15.03.2026 Sigma Olomouc - Karviná 2-2. In their head-to-head on 19.07.2025, Karviná defeated Dukla Praha 2-0. Over the last five matches, Dukla Praha had 42% possession, an average of 3.2 yellow cards, 14.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Karviná had 52% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 2.8 offsides. These stats indicate Karviná's more active attacking play and fewer fouls, while Dukla Praha tends to receive more cautions.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last 5 matches, Dukla Praha never surpassed the over 2.5 goals mark (0 out of 5), while Karviná did so in 3 out of 5. On average, Dukla Praha's matches see 1.6 goals, while Karviná's see 3. Dukla Praha scores an average of 0.6 and concedes 1, while Karviná scores 1.2 and concedes 1.8. In the first half, Dukla Praha surpassed 1.5 goals twice, and Karviná three times. In the second half, Dukla Praha did so once, and Karviná twice. Dukla Praha most frequently scores in the 0-15, 16-30, and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each), while Karviná scores most in the 61-75 minute interval (38%). Both teams are most vulnerable to conceding in the 31-45 minute interval (Dukla Praha - 40%, Karviná - 43%). Given both teams’ average goals exceed 1.5, and Karviná often plays in high-scoring games, the "Both Teams to Score: Yes" bet at 1.64 seems justified. Both teams have the potential for scoring, especially considering Karviná's frequent goals and Dukla Praha's not-so-reliable defense.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In the last 5 matches, Dukla Praha averaged 3.6 corners, while Karviná averaged 4.8. In the last five matches, both teams surpassed the over 9.5 corners mark three times each. Based on these figures, one can expect around 8-10 corners in the match. Considering the average wing play, a bet on total corners closer to 9-10 is logical, and it's worth noting that Karviná earns more corners. Overall, the match promises to be rich in set pieces, and betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified based on recent match frequencies for both teams.