Prediction for match Dundee United — Kilmarnock

Match Analysis: Dundee United vs Kilmarnock

On February 21st, Dundee United will face Kilmarnock in the Scottish Premiership. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Dundee United win at 1.97, draw at 3.55, and Kilmarnock win at 3.60. The probabilities are distributed as: 47.57% for Dundee United, 26.40% for a draw, and 26.03% for Kilmarnock. These figures highlight Dundee United as the favorite, but the gap is not too large, indicating a potentially tight contest. The goal total options are also intriguing: Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.74, while Under 2.5 is at 2.05, suggesting an expectation of a high-scoring match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Dundee United have averaged 39.6% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Kilmarnock shows 42% possession, 1.6 yellows, 11.2 fouls, and 2 offsides. Dundee United's last three games: 14.02.2026 Falkirk 2-3 Dundee United, 04.02.2026 Hibernian 3-2 Dundee United, 31.01.2026 Dundee United 0-3 Hearts. Kilmarnock's recent matches: 15.02.2026 Kilmarnock 2-3 Celtic, 11.02.2026 Kilmarnock 4-3 St Mirren, 04.02.2026 Rangers 5-1 Kilmarnock. Their last head-to-head on 29.11.2025 ended in a 1-1 draw.

Goals Statistics

In the last five matches, both teams have shown a strong over-profile. Dundee United had 4 out of 5 games with over 2.5 goals, while Kilmarnock had all 5. Dundee United's matches average 3.6 goals, Kilmarnock's - 5. Dundee United scores 1 and concedes 2.6, while Kilmarnock scores 2 and concedes 3. Both teams tend to be productive in both halves: Dundee United has 3 out of 5 with over 1.5 goals in the first and second halves, Kilmarnock has 4 out of 5 in each half. Dundee United most frequently scores between 16-30, 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (22% each), while Kilmarnock scores most in 76-90 (28%). Both teams also concede most in the final stages: Dundee United - 33% of goals between 76-90, Kilmarnock - 43% in the same period. This profile and their consistent scoring make the over 2.5 total goals bet at 1.74 a logical choice.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Both teams show similar corner stats: Dundee United with 4.4 per game, Kilmarnock with 4.8. In the last five matches, Dundee United had 3 out of 5 games with over 9.5 corners, Kilmarnock had 4 out of 5. The line closest to the average sum is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.53, under 9.5 at 2.24. Dundee United is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.87. Given their stable corner stats and frequent over 9.5 outcomes, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified.