Prediction for match Dunkerque — Bastia

Match Analysis: Dunkerque vs Bastia

In Ligue 2, Dunkerque will face Bastia on 20.02.2026. The odds for the main outcomes are: Dunkerque to win at 1.97, draw at 3.18, Bastia to win at 4.09. Probabilities are as follows: Dunkerque - 47.59%, draw - 29.48%, Bastia - 22.92%. Dunkerque is favored according to the odds, but the draw is also highly rated, indicating the bookmakers' caution regarding a clear advantage. The betting line also includes options for totals, both teams to score, individual performances, and double chance, allowing for an optimal prediction based on recent match statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Dunkerque recorded the following results: 13.02.2026 Amiens - Dunkerque 1-4, 06.02.2026 Dunkerque - Guingamp 0-0, 31.01.2026 Dunkerque - Annecy 0-1. During the same period, Bastia played as follows: 16.02.2026 Bastia - Troyes 0-0, 06.02.2026 Reims - Bastia 0-0, 30.01.2026 Bastia - Nancy 0-0. On average over the last five games, Dunkerque has 60% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per match. Bastia has 53.4% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their head-to-head match on 03.10.2025, Bastia and Dunkerque drew 0-0. These stats reflect Bastia's more aggressive style with more fouls and cards, while Dunkerque has a noticeable advantage in ball control.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Dunkerque averages 2.2 goals per match, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.8. Bastia's figures are significantly lower: 0.8 goals per game, scoring 0.4 and conceding 0.4. Dunkerque's matches went over 2.5 goals twice out of five, while Bastia's never did, with all five matches going under. Dunkerque only surpassed 1.5 goals in the first half once out of five, while Bastia never did. In the second half, both teams went over 1.5 goals twice out of five. Dunkerque most frequently scores and concedes between the 46th and 60th minutes (40% and 33%, respectively), while Bastia concedes most often between the 61st and 75th minutes (40%). All of this points to a trend of low-scoring games, especially for Bastia, where none of the last five matches went over 2.5 goals, and the average goals scored and conceded are minimal. A bet on under 2.5 goals, priced at 1.55, seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

Dunkerque averages 3.2 corners per match, while Bastia averages 4.8, totaling 8. In their last five matches, Dunkerque only went over 9.5 corners once, while Bastia never did. For a 9.5 corner total, both options are available: over - 1.98, under - 1.72. Dunkerque often wins more corners, with odds at 1.71. Based on the average number of corners and frequency of outcomes, a bet on under 9.5 corners seems justified, but a bet on Dunkerque to win more corners also has statistical support. Bastia tends to foul more, which could lead to set pieces, but overall, both teams are not inclined to take many corner kicks.