Prediction for match Egypt — Nigeria, 17.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Africa Cup of Nations, Egypt faces Nigeria on January 17, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Nigeria is the favorite with a win priced at 2.28, a draw at 3.22, and an Egypt win at 3.68. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Egypt - 26.62%, draw - 30.42%, Nigeria - 42.96%. This indicates that bookmakers slightly favor Nigeria's success but do not rule out a draw, with Egypt having the least chance. Total goals odds are: over 2.5 at 2.15, under 2.5 at 1.80, both teams to score: yes - 1.81, no - 1.91. For individual team totals: Egypt over 1 goal - 1.92, Nigeria over 1 goal - 1.45, Nigeria over 1.5 goals - 2.14. These odds reflect expectations of moderate scoring and a slight edge for the Nigerian team.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Egypt lost to Senegal 0-1 on January 14, defeated Ivory Coast 3-2 on January 10, and beat Benin 3-1 on January 5. Nigeria's last three games saw them lose to Morocco 2-4 on January 14, win against Algeria 2-0 on January 10, and thrash Mozambique 4-0 on January 5. In their recent head-to-head meeting on December 16, 2025, Egypt came out on top 2-1. Additional stats over the last five matches: Egypt averages 42.6% possession, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 11.4 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times. Nigeria averages 60.2% possession, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 19.6 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times. These figures show Nigeria prefers to control the ball and plays more aggressively, while Egypt often plays on the counter. Over the last five matches, Egypt scores 1.4 goals and concedes 0.8, Nigeria scores 2.4 and concedes 0.6. This highlights Nigeria's attacking prowess and defensive solidity.

How Many Goals in Egypt vs Nigeria Match

Over the last five matches, Egypt's games went over 2.5 goals twice and under three times. Nigeria's games went over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. By halves: Egypt's first half went over 1.5 goals once and under four times, second half over 1.5 goals twice and under three times. Nigeria's first half went over 1.5 goals once and under four times, second half over 1.5 goals four times and under once. Average total goals over 5 matches: Egypt 2.2, Nigeria 3. Egypt scores 1.4 on average and concedes 0.8, Nigeria scores 2.4 and concedes 0.6. Most frequent goal intervals: Egypt scores and concedes most often between 31-45 minutes (33%), also concedes between 61-75 and 76-90 (33% each). Nigeria's peak scoring is 61-75 minutes (38%), conceding as well at 61-75 (43%). This suggests the second half could be more eventful, especially for Nigeria. Considering both teams have games with over 2.5 goals and Nigeria's average total goals over 5 matches is 3, betting on over 2.0 goals at 1.55 seems logical. This option offers a push at two goals and a win at three or more.

Corner Totals Analysis

Egypt averages 3 corners over the last 5 matches, Nigeria 3.4. Frequency of over 9.5 corners: Egypt had 3 out of 5 matches over, Nigeria only 1 out of 5. The line offers totals for corners: over 9.5 at 2.21, under 9.5 at 1.51. This is close to the average sum for both teams. Individually, Egypt often records 3-4 corners, Nigeria 3-4, sometimes 5. No clear dominance in corner victories for either side. Betting on under 9.5 corners seems justified by Nigeria's frequency, but Egypt has three out of five over. Overall, moderate corner activity is expected without a clear bias towards over or under.