Prediction for match Eibar — Burgos

Odds and Probability Percentages

In the Segunda match between Eibar and Burgos on 15.03.2026, analysts favor Eibar. Eibar's victory is priced at 2.05, a draw at 3.10, and a win for Burgos at 4.32. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Eibar's success - 46.82%, draw - 30.96%, Burgos' victory - 22.22%. This setup reflects higher chances for Eibar, but a draw is also possible, considering the significant probability of a tie according to the odds. Meanwhile, the under 2.25 total is priced at 1.51 and looks like an interesting bet, given Burgos' low scoring and Eibar's cautious approach in recent matches.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Eibar shows average ball possession of 50%, with 2 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Burgos has 49.4% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. Eibar's last three matches were: 08.03.2026 Leganes - Eibar 0-1, 01.03.2026 Eibar - Cadiz 3-1, 21.02.2026 Deportivo La Coruna - Eibar 1-0. During the same period, Burgos defeated Mirandes 2-0 (07.03.2026), won against Real Zaragoza 1-0 (28.02.2026), and lost to Racing Santander 0-1 (22.02.2026). The last head-to-head match was on 10.01.2026: Burgos - Eibar 1-0.

How Many Goals in Eibar vs Burgos Match

Over the last five matches, Eibar averages 1.4 goals scored per game, conceding 0.8, with a total goal count of 2.2 per match. Burgos has lower figures: 0.8 goals scored, 0.4 conceded, and a total of 1.2 goals per match. Eibar has gone over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, Burgos in none, indicating a trend towards fewer goals. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred only once in 5 matches for both teams, in the second half, Eibar had 2 out of 5, Burgos none. Eibar's most frequent scoring intervals are 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 minutes (29% each), while Burgos often scored in the 0-15, 16-30, 31-45, and 61-75 minute ranges (25% each). Eibar concedes most frequently in the 16-30 minute range (50%), Burgos in the first 15 minutes and from 61 to 75 minutes (50% each). Given this, a bet on under 2.25 goals seems logical: Burgos has not exceeded 2.5 goals in 5 games, Eibar only twice, and both teams' average totals do not exceed 2.2.

Corner Bets

Eibar averages 4 corners over 5 matches, while Burgos averages 3.6. Eibar has gone over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 matches, Burgos in 2 out of 5. The closest total to the average values (7.6) is the line at 7.5: over 7.5 corners is priced at 1.42, under 7.5 at 2.53. Eibar is the favorite on corners with odds of 1.51. Overall, both teams are not particularly active in corners, so a bet on over 7.5 corners seems justified but not too risky. It's also worth noting that Eibar earns slightly more corners than Burgos, as indicated by the averages and the odds for winning on this metric.