Prediction for match Eibar — Malaga

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In the Segunda Division on May 2, Eibar will face Malaga. The odds for an Eibar victory are 2.12, a draw is priced at 3.33, and a Malaga win is at 3.70. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Eibar - 45.26%, Draw - 28.81%, Malaga - 25.93%. Based on these figures, Eibar is highlighted as the favorite, but Malaga also has a fair chance of achieving a positive result. Interestingly, the difference in probabilities between the teams is not that significant, suggesting a potentially competitive match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Eibar defeated Albacete 3-0 (24.04.2026), won against Huesca 2-1 (19.04.2026), and drew with Real Valladolid 0-0 (13.04.2026). Malaga, in their last three games, lost to Castellon 2-3 (25.04.2026), were defeated by Almeria 2-3 (19.04.2026), and beat Las Palmas 2-0 (11.04.2026). On average over the last five matches, Eibar has 48.4% possession, commits 12.4 fouls, receives 2.2 yellow cards, and records 1.4 offsides per game. Malaga averages 46.6% possession, 12.6 fouls, 2.4 yellow cards, and 2 offsides. In their last head-to-head meeting on 16.08.2025, the teams played to a 1-1 draw, indicating a certain balance of power between the opponents.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Eibar - Malaga Match

Both teams tend to play in high-scoring matches. Over the last five games, Eibar has averaged 1.8 goals scored, 0.2 conceded, and a total of 2 goals per game. Malaga's averages are higher: 2 goals scored, 2 conceded, and 4 total goals per match. Each team has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, indicating regular high-scoring encounters. In the first half, Eibar had only 1 out of 5 games with more than 1.5 goals, while Malaga had 2 out of 5. In the second half, Malaga consistently goes over, with 5 out of 5 matches over 1.5 goals, while Eibar has 2 out of 5. Eibar most frequently scores between the 46th-60th and 61st-75th minutes (33% each), while Malaga scores most often between the 46th-60th minute (36%). Eibar is most likely to concede in the first 15 minutes (60%), while Malaga concedes most often towards the end (76th-90th minute, 44%). Considering Malaga's high scoring ability, the regular occurrence of over 2.5 goals for both teams, and an active second half, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.04 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average, Eibar earns 3 corners per match, Malaga - 5. In the last five games, Eibar had 2 out of 5 matches with over 9.5 corners, while Malaga had 3 out of 5. If we consider the total corners closer to the sum of their averages (8), there are options for betting: over 8.5 is priced at 1.57, under 8.5 at 2.16. Eibar is the favorite for the corner outcome with odds of 1.69. Although Malaga takes corners more frequently, Eibar is also capable of earning several set pieces. It makes sense to consider a bet on over 8.5 corners, given the attacking style of both teams and their recent match statistics.