Prediction for match Eibar — Real Zaragoza, 22.11.2025

Who is the favorite in the Eibar vs Real Zaragoza match?

On November 22, Eibar will face Real Zaragoza in the Segunda. According to the odds on the main outcome, Eibar is considered the favorite: their win is priced at 1.84, while a draw is at 3.50, and a win for Real Zaragoza is at 4.68. The estimated probabilities are: Eibar win 52.11%, draw 27.40%, Real Zaragoza win 20.49%. These figures reflect Eibar's advantage, which is also supported by their higher performance in recent matches. The teams regularly meet in this tournament, and the encounters often involve intense battles.

Team results and statistics

In the last five matches, Eibar has an average possession of 53.4%, receives 2.4 yellow cards on average, commits 13.2 fouls, and records 1.8 offsides. Real Zaragoza, over the same period, has 50.4% possession, 3 yellow cards, 15 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Eibar's last three matches: 16.11.2025 Sporting Gijón - Eibar 1-1, 08.11.2025 Eibar - Albacete 3-2, 01.11.2025 Almería - Eibar 3-1. Real Zaragoza's recent results: 16.11.2025 Real Zaragoza - Huesca 1-0, 09.11.2025 Granada - Real Zaragoza 3-1, 02.11.2025 Real Zaragoza - Deportivo La Coruña 0-2. In the head-to-head on 12.04.2025, Real Zaragoza and Eibar played out a 2-2 draw, with the total over 2.5 goals being achieved. The statistics highlight that Eibar tends to play more attacking football, whereas Real Zaragoza struggles in attack.

How many goals to expect?

Eibar's average goal rate over five games is exactly 3 goals, while Real Zaragoza's is 2.6. In terms of goals scored: Eibar averages 1.2 goals, and Real Zaragoza just 0.4, with Real Zaragoza conceding 2.2 goals on average and Eibar 1.8. In the last five matches, Eibar's total over 2.5 goals occurred 3 times, and Real Zaragoza's 2 times. By halves: Eibar had over 1.5 goals in the first half 1 out of 5 times, and in the second half 2 out of 5 times; Real Zaragoza had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 out of 5 times, and in the second half 3 out of 5 times. Eibar most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (30%), while Real Zaragoza scores evenly across five intervals, with 20% in each. In terms of goals conceded, Eibar is most vulnerable in the 0-15 minute interval (40%), while Real Zaragoza is exposed in three intervals: 31-45, 46-60, and 61-75 minutes (each 25%). Considering the imbalance in goals scored and conceded, as well as the regular occurrence of totals over 2.5 goals and average scoring rates, it's reasonable to consider a bet on total over 2.0 with odds of 1.65.

Analysis of corner totals

Over a five-match series, Eibar averages 5.2 corners, and Real Zaragoza 6.2. Eibar's total over 9.5 corners occurred 2 out of 5 times, and Real Zaragoza's 3 out of 5 times. The odds on the total corners: over 8.5 is priced at 1.53, under 8.5 at 2.25. In corner outcomes, Eibar is the favorite with odds of 1.48. Considering the average activity in corners for both teams, it's logical to highlight the option for total over 8.5, which has occurred in at least half of the recent matches.