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Prediction for match Elche — Alaves

Match prediction Elche — Alaves, La Liga, 09.05.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Spanish La Liga on May 9, Elche will face Alaves. The odds for an Elche win are 2.34, for a draw 3.40, and for an Alaves victory 3.42. According to the probability percentages, the distribution is as follows: Elche - 42.15%, draw - 29.01%, Alaves - 28.84%. Based on these figures, Elche is seen as the favorite, although the gap is not significant. Additionally, the odds for both teams to score are 1.65 for 'yes' and 2.13 for 'no', while the over 2.5 goals market is at 1.94 and under 2.5 goals at 2.00. This suggests expectations of a high-scoring game, albeit with some caution.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Elche has averaged 55.4% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Alaves, on the other hand, averages 46.2% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their recent games, Elche lost to Celta 1-3 on May 3, defeated Real Oviedo 2-1 on April 26, and beat Atletico Madrid 3-2 on April 22. Alaves lost to Athletic Bilbao 2-4 on May 2, won against Mallorca 2-1 on April 25, and narrowly lost to Real Madrid 1-2 on April 21. In their head-to-head meeting on October 5, 2025, Alaves defeated Elche 3-1.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Elche vs. Alaves

In Elche's last five matches, over 2.5 goals occurred 3 times, under 2 times. Their average goal count is 2.8, with the team scoring and conceding 1.4 goals per game. Alaves, in their last five games, saw over 2.5 goals in all matches, with an average total of 4.4 goals; they score 2 and concede 2.4 goals per game. In terms of halves, Elche had over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 times, but only once in the second half. Alaves had over 1.5 goals in the first half twice, but all five second halves were high-scoring (5 out of 5 over 1.5). Goal intervals show Elche most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (33%) and concedes in the first 15 minutes (40%). Alaves most often scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (27%) and concedes between the 76th and 90th minutes (45%). Overall, both teams show a tendency for high-scoring games, especially Alaves. This is confirmed by frequent over 2.5 totals and high average goals, as well as second-half activity. The most logical bet seems to be over 2.5 goals at 1.94.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Elche averages 5 corners per match, while Alaves averages 6. In their last 5 games, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 3 times for both teams. According to the odds, the total corners over 9.5 is at 1.81, under 9.5 at 1.89. Elche is favored to win the corner count with odds of 1.70. Considering the average total corners (11 per match) and the frequency of over 9.5 corners, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified. Also, betting on Elche to win the corner count could be considered, given their average and the offered odds.

Sportwars.net Prediction for Elche vs. Alaves, 09.05.2026 - Over 2.5 goals, odds 1.94. Correct score: 2:1, odds 8.50.
09.05.26
14:00
Elche
Elche
-
Alaves
Alaves
-
Tip:
Over 2.5 goals
Odds:
1.94
Author: Sportwars AI Model
The prediction is based on recent match statistics, head-to-head results, and the current form of the teams. The text and data have been verified by the website team.
07.05.26, 18:05
* statistical data are taken from the match page section Teams comparison

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