Prediction for match Elche — Atletico Madrid

Match Analysis: Elche vs Atletico Madrid

The La Liga clash between Elche and Atletico Madrid is scheduled for 22.04.2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Atletico Madrid is the favorite with odds of 2.54, while Elche is at 2.82, and a draw is priced at 3.74. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 34.91% for an Elche win, 26.32% for a draw, and 38.76% for an Atletico Madrid win. This setup shows a slight edge for the Madrid side, but Elche is not seen as a clear underdog in terms of chances.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at Elche's last three matches, the team defeated Valencia 1-0, lost to Rayo Vallecano 0-1, and beat Mallorca 2-1. Atletico Madrid, in their last three outings, lost to Real Sociedad 5-6, were beaten by Barcelona 1-2, and lost to Sevilla 1-2. On average, over the last five games, Elche had 52.2% ball possession, received 2.4 yellow cards, committed 14.6 fouls, and had 1.6 offsides per game. Atletico Madrid showed 47.4% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In their head-to-head on 23.08.2025, the teams drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Elche's last five matches, the total over 2.5 goals occurred 3 times, and under 2.5 happened twice. For Atletico Madrid, 4 out of 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals. The average goals in Elche's matches were 2.6, while Atletico Madrid averaged 3. Scored goals: Elche - 1, Atletico Madrid - 1.4, with both teams conceding 1.6 per game. In the first half, Elche had over 1.5 goals twice, and under 1.5 three times, while Atletico Madrid had 4 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half. In the second half, Elche had over 1.5 goals twice, while Atletico Madrid never exceeded 1.5 goals in the second half over five games. Goal intervals: Elche most frequently scores between 61-75 minutes (50%) and concedes late in the game between 76-90 minutes (75%). Atletico Madrid is most prolific between 31-45 minutes (50% of goals) and also concedes most frequently in this interval (44%). Considering both teams often participate in high-scoring matches, and Atletico Madrid is particularly prone to overs, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.77 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, over five matches, Elche earns 4.2 corners, while Atletico Madrid earns 3. In the last five encounters, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 3 times for both teams. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (7.2) is 7.5, with odds of 1.32 for over and not lower than 3.10 for under. Atletico Madrid is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 2.05. Given the average corner activity and the frequency of over 9.5 totals, it makes sense to consider betting on over 7.5 or 8.5 corners, as well as focusing on Atletico Madrid's win on corners.