Prediction for match Elche — Sevilla, 19.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The La Liga clash between Elche and Sevilla is scheduled for January 19, 2026. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Elche's victory is priced at 2.36, Sevilla's win at 3.29, and a draw at 3.48. The estimated probabilities for these outcomes are: Elche - 41.75%, draw - 28.31%, Sevilla - 29.94%. With this distribution, Elche is considered the favorite, but the gap between the teams is not large, adding intrigue to the betting choices.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Elche played as follows: January 14 - Real Betis vs. Elche - 2-1, January 10 - Valencia vs. Elche - 1-1, January 3 - Elche vs. Villarreal - 1-3. Sevilla's last three results were: January 12 - Sevilla vs. Celta - 0-1, January 4 - Sevilla vs. Levante - 0-3, December 20 - Real Madrid vs. Sevilla - 2-0. On average over five matches, Elche maintains 59.6% possession, commits 14 fouls, 2.6 offsides, and receives 2.4 yellow cards. Sevilla's stats are: 55% possession, 16 fouls, 2 offsides, and 2.8 yellow cards. In their last head-to-head on September 12, 2025, the teams drew 2-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five matches, Elche has an average total of 2.8 goals per game, while Sevilla's average is 2.2. Elche scores an average of 1.6 and concedes 1.2, whereas Sevilla scores 0.8 and concedes 1.4. Regarding over 2.5 goals: Elche has 3 out of 5 matches over, Sevilla 2 out of 5. In the first half, both teams tend to play under, with only 1 out of 5 matches over 1.5 goals. In the second half, Elche has 3 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, Sevilla 2 out of 5. Elche most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (44%), while Sevilla scores towards the end, from the 76th to 90th minutes (50%). Elche concedes more often in the first 15 minutes (33%), and Sevilla in the last 15 minutes (75%). Overall, despite occasional bursts of scoring, both teams do not consistently show an over-profile, and Sevilla's average attacking output (0.8 goals) suggests opting for under 2.5 goals.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Elche averages 4.8 corners per game, Sevilla 6. For over 9.5 corners: Elche has 1 out of 5, Sevilla 2 out of 5. If considering a total of 9.5 corners, the odds for over 9.5 are 1.98, and under 9.5 also 1.98. Elche is the favorite for winning the corner count with odds of 1.68. Given the average activity of both teams in taking corners, a bet on total corners around 9-10 seems justified; however, the frequency of over 9.5 is not high, which may suggest caution when choosing this option.