Prediction for match Empoli — Bari, 29.11.2025

Match Analysis: Empoli vs Bari

On November 29th, in Serie B, Empoli will face Bari. According to the odds, Empoli is the favorite with a win priced at 2.14, giving them a 43.74% chance of success. A draw is set at 3.14 with a 29.81% probability. Bari's victory is rated at 3.54, with a 26.44% chance. The bookmakers suggest that the most likely outcome is a narrow win for Empoli, although a draw is also quite possible. The focus is solely on the teams' form and statistics, without considering the tournament standings.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Empoli had an average possession of 40.8%, received 3.2 yellow cards, committed 16 fouls, and had 0.4 offsides per game. Bari appears slightly more disciplined with 45.8% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Empoli's recent matches include: 22.11 Avellino - Empoli 0-3, 08.11 Empoli - Catanzaro 1-0, 01.11 Virtus Entella - Empoli 1-0. Bari's recent results are: 22.11 Bari - Frosinone 2-3, 07.11 Spezia - Bari 1-1, 02.11 Bari - Cesena 1-0. In their head-to-head history, in 2018 Bari - Empoli ended 0-4 (over 2.5 goals), and in 2017 Empoli - Bari finished 3-2 (over 2.5 goals). Empoli tends to foul more and receive more cards, while Bari holds the ball slightly longer.

Goals Based on Match Statistics

In their last 5 matches, both teams scored an average of 1.2 goals, with Empoli conceding 0.8 and Bari 1.4. Empoli's average total goals are 2, while Bari's are 2.6. Both teams had over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches. In the first half, Empoli had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5, and Bari in 3 out of 5. In the second half, both teams only had over 1.5 goals in 1 out of 5. Empoli most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (40%), while Bari scores most often between the 31st and 45th minutes (38%). Empoli concedes most between the 16th and 30th minutes and the 76th and 90th minutes (both 40%), while Bari concedes most in the first 15 minutes and between the 31st and 45th minutes (both 40%). Overall, both teams show moderate scoring ability, but are not prone to high-scoring games. The over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.25, which seems high given current stats. It's more logical to consider under 2.5 goals, priced at 1.62: both teams only surpassed the over twice in their last five matches, and neither exceeds an average total of 2.6. The trend also points to a low-scoring second half.

Corners in the Match

Empoli averages 3.4 corners per match, while Bari averages 4.6. Combined, this totals 8 corners. Empoli had over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 matches, while Bari had it in 2 out of 5. The line closest to the average for total corners is 8.5: over 8.5 is priced at 1.54, under 8.5 at 2.28. Empoli is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.84. The data suggests the match is unlikely to be filled with corners, with teams likely limiting themselves to 8-9. For corner bets, under 9.5 seems the most logical choice, considering the averages and frequency of outcomes.