Prediction for match Empoli — Cesena

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Italy's Serie B, Empoli faces Cesena on 28.02.2026. According to the 1X2 odds, an Empoli win is priced at 2.36, a draw at 3.10, and a Cesena victory at 3.11. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Empoli - 39.68%, draw - 30.21%, Cesena - 30.11%. Empoli is considered the most likely winner according to the odds, but the expectations between the teams are very close. The betting line also offers options for totals and both teams to score, but there is no clear bias towards either side.

Recent Match Analysis

In their last three matches, Empoli drew 2-2 with Frosinone (20.02.2026), 1-1 with Reggiana (15.02.2026), and lost 1-2 to Juve Stabia (11.02.2026). Cesena, on the other hand, lost 2-3 to Spezia (21.02.2026), was defeated 0-4 by Venezia (14.02.2026), and lost 1-3 to Virtus Entella (10.02.2026). Over the last five games, Empoli averages 48.2% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 15.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per match. Cesena averages 47.2% possession, 2.8 yellows, 12.8 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. In their head-to-head on January 10, 2026, Cesena lost 0-1 to Empoli.

Goal Expectations for Empoli vs Cesena

Over the last five matches, Empoli has an average total goal count of 2.8, while Cesena's is even higher at 3.8. Both teams average 1.2 goals scored per game, but Cesena concedes significantly more - 2.6 compared to Empoli's 1.6. Empoli has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, while Cesena has in 4 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred twice for Empoli and three times for Cesena. In the second half, Empoli had over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, and Cesena in 4 out of 5. As for goal intervals: Empoli most frequently scores between 46-60 minutes (29%), while Cesena scores most often in two intervals: 16-30 and 76-90 (27% each). Empoli concedes most frequently in three intervals: 16-30, 46-60, and 61-75 (29% each), while Cesena concedes most often between 61-75 minutes (33%). Considering Cesena's high scoring in recent matches, frequent over 2.5 goal outcomes for both teams, and consistent scoring in the second half, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.08 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Empoli averages 6 corners over five matches, while Cesena averages 5.2. For over 9.5 corners, Empoli has only 1 out of 5 games, whereas Cesena has 4 out of 5. Among the available corner totals, the closest to the average sum (11.2) is the 11.5 line. Over 11.5 corners is priced at 3.72, under 11.5 at 1.20. Empoli is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.92. Given Cesena's frequent high corner totals and Empoli's consistent corner-taking, considering over 9.5 or 11.5 corners is logical, but with caution due to Empoli's low frequency of hitting the over.