Prediction for match Empoli — Palermo

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On December 7th in Serie B, Empoli and Palermo will face off – a match that draws interest not only due to the league standings but also the balance of power according to the odds and probabilities. Palermo's victory is rated at 2.35, Empoli's at 3.09, and a draw at 3.14. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Palermo - 39.86%, Empoli - 30.31%, draw - 29.83%. Palermo is highlighted as the favorite, but the gap is not large enough to dismiss Empoli. Options for total goals: over 2.5 - 2.13, under 2.5 - 1.69, both teams to score - yes at 1.83, no at 1.87. Odds for individual team totals: Palermo over 1 - 1.60, Empoli over 1 - 1.86. These numbers suggest bookmakers expect a high-scoring game, but do not rule out a cautious approach.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Empoli achieved the following results: November 29 - Empoli 5-0 Bari, November 22 - Avellino 0-3 Empoli, November 8 - Empoli 1-0 Catanzaro. During the same period, Palermo recorded: November 29 - Palermo 5-0 Carrarese, November 22 - Virtus Entella 1-1 Palermo, November 8 - Juve Stabia 1-0 Palermo. The last head-to-head meeting was on February 2, 2018: Empoli 4-0 Palermo. Over a five-match period, Empoli averages 42.2% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 15.2 fouls, and 0.4 offsides per game. Palermo holds possession 52.8% of the time, receives 2.8 yellow cards, commits 14 fouls, and is caught offside 1.4 times. These parameters show that Palermo plays a bit more cautiously and controls the ball more.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Statistics on totals show that both teams tend to play high-scoring matches. Empoli averages 2.4 goals per game, while Palermo averages 3.2. In the last five matches, Empoli saw over 2.5 goals twice, while Palermo saw it three times. In terms of individual goals, Empoli scores an average of 2 and concedes 0.4, Palermo scores 2.2 and concedes 1. By halves: Empoli had over 1.5 goals in the first half only once in five matches, while Palermo had the same, but in the second half, Palermo recorded three instances of over 1.5 goals, Empoli two. There's notable activity towards the end: Empoli most frequently scores and concedes between the 76-90 minute mark (50% each), while Palermo's most frequent goals occur between 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (25% each). Palermo concedes more often between 46-60 minutes (50%). All this suggests that the second half is likely to see goal activity, and the overall team profiles support a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.13. Both teams regularly score and concede, and the average goals and totals in the series confirm the likelihood of a high-scoring game.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

The average number of corners for Empoli over five matches is 3.2, and for Palermo, it's 5.2. In a series of five matches, Empoli had over 9.5 corners twice, while Palermo had it four times. Considering the total corners, the line closest to the sum of the averages (8.4) is 8.5: over 8.5 corners is at 1.51, under 8.5 is at 2.29. In the line for corners outcome, Palermo is the favorite with odds of 2.05. Based on the frequency of corner totals for Palermo and their activity in set pieces, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 8.5 corners, as well as Palermo's advantage in this component.