Prediction for match Erzurumspor — Keçiörengücü

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Turkish Cup on March 4, 2026, Erzurumspor will face Keçiörengücü. The odds for an Erzurumspor victory are 1.76, a draw is at 3.85, and a win for Keçiörengücü is priced at 4.08. In terms of probability percentages, Erzurumspor has a 52.95% chance, a draw is at 24.21%, and Keçiörengücü holds a 22.84% chance. Erzurumspor stands out as the favorite according to both the odds and percentages, which is also supported by the recent form of both teams. The betting line also shows high odds for totals, indicating a potentially high-scoring match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Erzurumspor has shown strong performance: February 28 - Vanspor vs Erzurumspor 0-3, February 22 - Erzurumspor vs Serik Belediyespor 4-0, February 18 - Keçiörengücü vs Erzurumspor 1-2. Keçiörengücü's recent matches are as follows: February 28 - Keçiörengücü vs Amed 2-2, February 23 - Pendikspor vs Keçiörengücü 0-1, February 18 - Keçiörengücü vs Erzurumspor 1-2. In their head-to-head encounters, the last game was on February 18, 2026, ending in a 2-1 victory for Erzurumspor. Additional stats show Erzurumspor averages 57.2% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game over their last five matches. Keçiörengücü averages 40.8% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 2.4 offsides.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, both teams have shown high-scoring tendencies: Erzurumspor had 4 out of 5 games with over 2.5 goals, while Keçiörengücü also had 4 out of 5 over 2.5. Erzurumspor's matches average 3.6 goals, while Keçiörengücü's average 3.8. Erzurumspor scores an average of 3.4 goals per game, Keçiörengücü 2, with Erzurumspor conceding almost none (0.2), and Keçiörengücü conceding 1.8. By halves, Erzurumspor has 2 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals in the first half and 4 out of 5 in the second half. Keçiörengücü has 3 out of 5 in both halves. Erzurumspor most frequently scores in the 76-90 minute interval (50%), while Keçiörengücü scores most frequently in the 0-15 and 31-45 minute intervals (30% each). Both teams are vulnerable at the end of the match: Erzurumspor concedes 43% of their goals from 76 to 90 minutes, Keçiörengücü 44% in the same period. Considering the high scoring nature, frequent over 2.5 total goals, and consistent average goals, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.61 seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Over the last five matches, Erzurumspor averages 4.8 corners, Keçiörengücü 3.4. For the over 9.5 corners total: Erzurumspor had 2 out of 5 games over, while Keçiörengücü had none. Among the presented corner totals, 8.5 is closest to the average, but there are no odds offered for this total. Overall, neither team tends to have excessively high corner totals, with 7-9 corners per game being more common. There is no clear winner for corners, but Erzurumspor takes more. When choosing a corner bet, consider moderate totals, based on the average statistics of both teams.