Prediction for match Espanyol — Barcelona, 03.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The La Liga match between Espanyol and Barcelona will take place on January 3rd. Barcelona is the clear favorite: their victory is priced at 1.55, a draw at 5.02, and an Espanyol win at 5.78. The outcome probabilities are distributed as follows: Barcelona's win is estimated at 63.41%, a draw at 19.58%, and Espanyol's win at 17.01%. This reflects the difference in the current form and results of the teams over recent weeks. Bets on a Barcelona victory seem the most logical given the presented odds and percentages.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Espanyol defeated Athletic Bilbao 2-1 (December 22), won against Getafe 1-0 (December 13), and beat Rayo Vallecano 1-0 (December 7). During the same period, Barcelona beat Villarreal 2-0 (December 21), Osasuna 2-0 (December 13), and Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 (December 9). On average over a five-match span, Espanyol has 43.6% possession, records 2.2 yellow cards, commits 14.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Barcelona has 71% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 8.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their last head-to-head meeting on May 15, 2025, Barcelona defeated Espanyol 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

There is a noticeable difference in goal-scoring activity between the teams. In a five-match series, Espanyol has an average total of 1.4 goals per match, scoring 1 goal per game and conceding 0.4. Barcelona averages 3.8 goals, scoring 2.8 and conceding 1. Regarding over 2.5 total goals, Espanyol had only 1 out of 5 matches go over, while Barcelona had 3 out of 5. In the first half, Espanyol had 1 out of 5 games with two or more goals, while Barcelona had 2 out of 5. In the second half, Espanyol never exceeded 1.5 goals, while Barcelona did in 4 out of 5. Espanyol most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (67%) and concedes between the 46th and 60th minutes (50%). Barcelona most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (36%) and concedes most often in the first 15 minutes (33%). Given Barcelona's high scoring ability and Espanyol's stable defense, a bet on a Barcelona victory seems the most reliable, especially considering the difference in attacking potential and the frequency of over total goals for Barcelona.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

The average number of corners for Espanyol over 5 matches is 5.4, and for Barcelona, it's 8.2. Regarding over 9.5 corners, both teams had 3 out of 5 matches. Considering the total corners, the line closest to the sum of averages is 13.5, but the odds offer a line at 10: over 10 at 1.87, under 10 at 1.87. Barcelona is the favorite in terms of corner outcomes with odds of 1.44. Given Barcelona's high activity with flank deliveries and Espanyol's decent numbers, a bet on over 10 corners seems justified.