Prediction for match Troyes — Le Mans

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Ligue 2 match on January 31, Troyes will face Le Mans. According to the 1X2 odds, Troyes is the favorite: a win for them is priced at 2.06, a draw at 2.99, and a victory for Le Mans at 4.05. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 45.50% for a Troyes win, 31.35% for a draw, and 23.15% for a Le Mans win. Analysts believe Troyes has the best chance of success, but a draw is also a possibility. Le Mans is the underdog, but the probability gap isn't huge, which makes the match intriguing.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Troyes has an average ball possession of 46%, with 1.8 yellow cards, 15.4 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Le Mans shows 48% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 17.4 fouls, and 3.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Troyes played: Guingamp 1-0 Troyes on January 24, Troyes 2-1 Reims on January 17, and Bastia 0-2 Troyes on January 10. Le Mans' last three results were: Le Mans 1-0 Dunkerque on January 26, Rodez 1-1 Le Mans on January 16, and Le Mans 4-1 Nancy on January 11. In their last head-to-head on October 3, 2025, Le Mans and Troyes drew 2-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

For goal scoring, Troyes has an average of 2.2 goals per match in their last five games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.6 goals per game. Le Mans has a noticeably lower average: 1.2 goals per match, with 0.8 scored and 0.4 conceded. Frequency of over/under totals: Troyes had 2 out of 5 matches go over 2.5 goals, while Le Mans had only 1 out of 5. By halves, Troyes had 1 out of 5 matches go over 1.5 goals in the first half and the same in the second half, while Le Mans had none in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second half. Troyes most frequently scores in the 0-15 and 31-45 minute intervals (40% each), while Le Mans scores most often in the 46-60 minute interval (67%). For goals conceded: Troyes most frequently concedes in the final minutes (76-90, 67%), while Le Mans concedes evenly across three intervals: 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (33% each). Overall, both teams lean towards lower-scoring games: Le Mans only had 1 out of 5 matches go over 2.5 goals, Troyes had 2 out of 5, and their average goals scored and conceded do not exceed 2.2. This is supported by the odds for under 2.5 goals at 1.66, which seems reasonable given these numbers.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For corners, Troyes averages 4.2 per match over 5 games, while Le Mans averages 4.8. Frequency of over 9.5 corners: Troyes had 2 out of 5 matches go over, while Le Mans had 4 out of 5. The line offers a total corners bet of 9.5: over 9.5 is priced at 2.02, under 9.5 at 1.70. Troyes is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.69. Given the average total corners for both teams (9), a bet on the total corners near 9.5 seems justified. An individual corners bet on Le Mans may also be considered, given their frequency of going over 9.5.