Prediction for match Troyes — Lens

Match Analysis: Troyes vs Lens

In the Coupe de France on February 4th, Troyes will face off against Lens. The odds for a Lens victory are 1.54, a draw is at 4.33, and a win for Troyes is 5.34. In terms of probabilities: Lens - 60.83%, draw - 21.63%, Troyes - 17.54%. Lens is seen as the favorite according to both percentages and odds, which is also supported by the recent match statistics of both teams. The betting lines highlight options for totals and both teams to score, but bookmakers primarily focus on Lens's advantage.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Troyes recorded the following results: January 31 - Troyes vs Le Mans - 0-2, January 24 - Guingamp vs Troyes - 1-0, January 17 - Troyes vs Reims - 2-1. During the same period, Lens played as follows: January 30 - Lens vs Le Havre - 1-0, January 24 - Marseille vs Lens - 3-1, January 17 - Lens vs Auxerre - 1-0. In their last head-to-head on January 28, 2023, the teams drew 1-1. Secondary statistics show Troyes with an average possession of 47.2%, yellow cards - 2.4, fouls - 13.6, offsides - 2.8 over five matches. Lens has 56.2% possession, yellow cards - 1.8, fouls - 17.8, offsides - 1.6. This reflects Lens's more aggressive style and greater discipline in defense.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring, Troyes has an average total of 1.8 goals over five matches, scoring 1 and conceding 0.8. Lens has an average total of 2.4, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.6. In a series of five, only 1 out of 5 matches for Troyes went over 2.5 total goals, whereas for Lens, 3 out of 5 went over 2.5. By halves, Troyes had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 times out of 5, and none in the second half. Lens had over 1.5 in the first half only 1 out of 5, but 3 out of 5 in the second half. For goal intervals: Troyes most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (50%), concedes in the same minutes (40%) and at the end (76-90 - 40%). Lens most often scores in the first 15 minutes (40%) and between 61-75 minutes (40%), while conceding at the end (76-90 - 71%). Considering Lens's strong offensive profile and Troyes's defensive vulnerabilities, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.68 seems logical. Lens's high scoring rate and frequent second-half goals also support this choice.

Corner Totals Analysis

The average number of corners for both teams over 5 matches is 4 per game. Troyes had 2 out of 5 matches with a corners total over 9.5, and Lens had 1 out of 5. The line for corner totals offers: over 8.5 - 1.91, under 8.5 - 1.83. Based on average values, a bet on under 8.5 corners seems justified. Neither team stands out as a favorite in corner outcomes, with both showing similar figures. Overall, the match doesn't promise a high number of corners, given the moderate statistics of both teams.