Prediction for match Troyes — Pau

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the French Ligue 2 match on 21.02.2026, Troyes will face Pau. Bookmakers have set the odds for a Troyes win at 1.97, a draw at 3.52, and a victory for Pau at 3.63. The probabilities are as follows: Troyes 47.57%, draw 26.62%, Pau 25.81%. Thus, Troyes is considered the favorite, but the gap in chances is not critical, and Pau also has a fair shot at a positive result. Additionally, there are markets available for total goals, both teams to score, and individual performances, offering interesting betting options for this match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Troyes has averaged 55.4% possession, 3.4 yellow cards, 15.6 fouls, and 3.8 offsides. Meanwhile, Pau has averaged 52% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. In their recent matches, Troyes played: 16.02.2026 Bastia - Troyes 0-0, 07.02.2026 Nancy - Troyes 2-1, 04.02.2026 Troyes - Lens 2-4. Pau's recent results were: 13.02.2026 Pau - Boulogne 1-2, 06.02.2026 Red Star - Pau 0-3, 30.01.2026 Laval - Pau 0-1. In their head-to-head on 03.11.2025, Pau and Troyes drew 1-1. These stats suggest both teams are capable of competing strongly, and Pau has been regularly picking up points in recent matches.

Team Scoring Streaks

Over the last five matches, Troyes has an average total goals of 2.4, while Pau's is 3. Troyes scores 0.6 and concedes 1.8, whereas Pau scores 1.6 and concedes 1.4. For matches with more than 2.5 goals: Troyes has 2 out of 5, Pau has 4 out of 5. In the first half, more than 1.5 goals were seen in 3 out of 5 matches for Troyes and 1 out of 5 for Pau. In the second half, Troyes recorded only 1 out of 5 for over 1.5 goals, while Pau had 4 out of 5. In terms of goal timing, Troyes most frequently scores between 61-75 minutes (60%) and concedes between 31-45 minutes (57%). Pau distributes their goals evenly across all intervals, with 17% in each fifteen-minute segment, and most often concedes late in the game (76-90 minutes, 44%). Considering Pau's high-scoring nature, frequent over 2.5 goal matches, and both teams' average conceding rates, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.84 seems justified. Pau regularly plays in high-scoring games, and Troyes often concedes, increasing the chances for three or more goals in the match.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For the average number of corners over 5 matches: Troyes takes 4.4, Pau 5. In the last five matches, the total corners over 9.5 occurred twice for both teams. Among the available totals, the line closest to the sum of average figures (9.4) is 9.5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.98, and under 9.5 is also 1.98. Troyes is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.64. Given that both teams regularly take 4-5 corners per game, considering over 9.5 corners is logical. Also, note that Pau averages slightly more, while Troyes consistently maintains over 4 corners per match.