Prediction for match Estonia — Italy

Who is the favorite in the match between Estonia and Italy?

In the European World Cup Qualifier on October 11, 2025, Estonia will face Italy. The clear favorite in this match is the Italian national team: with odds of just 1.07 for their victory, a draw is at 13.00, and an Estonian win is rated at 21.00. In terms of probability, 88.24% of bets are backing Italy, with 7.26% for a draw, and 4.50% for a Baltic team victory. This reflects the significant difference in class and current form between the teams.

Team results and statistics

In the last five matches, Estonia averages 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded, with 2.6 corners per match and 34.2% ball possession. In the same period, Italy averages 3 goals scored and 2 conceded, with 5.8 corners and 59% possession. Recently, Estonia drew 0-0 with Andorra (09.09.2025), lost to Italy 0-5 (05.09.2025), and was defeated by Norway 0-1 (09.06.2025). Besides their win over Estonia, Italy secured a high-scoring victory against Israel 5-4 (08.09.2025) and beat Moldova 2-0 (09.06.2025). In head-to-head encounters, Italy has twice won convincingly: 5-0 (05.09.2025) and 4-0 (11.11.2020).

How many goals to expect?

Analyzing total goals statistics, Italy has seen over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, while Estonia has done so in 3 out of 5. On average, over the last five games, Italy's matches have produced 5 goals, while Estonia's have produced 3. Italy has scored over 1.5 goals in the first half three times out of five, and similarly in the second half. Estonia has scored over 1.5 goals twice in the first half and three times in the second half. For goal intervals, Estonia most frequently scores between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (38% each), while Italy scores most often between the 31st-45th minutes (29%). Italy concedes most frequently in the second half (46th-60th and 76th-90th minutes, 38% each).

Betting on corners

In terms of corners, Italy confidently outperforms their opponent: averaging 5.8 compared to Estonia's 2.6 over 5 matches. The total corners over 9.5 occurred in 3 out of 5 matches for Italy, and 2 out of 5 for Estonia. The odds for total corners over 9.5 are 1.90, and under 9.5 are also 1.90. Italy is the favorite for corners outcome with odds of 1.08.