Prediction for match Estonia — Moldova

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the European World Cup qualifiers, Estonia will face Moldova on October 14. Bookmakers favor Estonia with odds of 2.00 for their victory. A draw is offered at 3.30, while Moldova's win is at 3.75. According to the percentages: 46.74% for Estonia's win, 28.33% for a draw, and 24.93% for the visitors' success. This setup shows a moderate advantage for the Estonian team, but the gap between the teams is not overwhelming.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, both teams have struggled offensively. Estonia has averaged only 0.5 goals scored while conceding 3 per match, and Moldova has shown similar attacking results - 0.5 goals scored with 4.75 conceded. In a series of five matches, Estonia lost to Italy 1-3 (October 11, 2025) and drew with Andorra 0-0 (September 9, 2025), with defeats also against Israel (1-3) and Norway (0-1). Meanwhile, Moldova suffered a heavy loss to Norway 1-11 (September 9, 2025) and also lost to Romania 1-2 (October 9, 2025) and Israel 0-4. In their only head-to-head match in this cycle, played on March 25, 2025, Estonia defeated Moldova 3-2.

Goals by Match Statistics

The scoring efficiency of both teams in the last five matches is not high: Estonia's average total goals is 3.5, Moldova's is 5.25, but most of the goals are scored by their opponents. Over 2.5 goals were recorded in 3 out of 5 matches for both teams. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred twice for Estonia and three times for Moldova, in the second half - three times for Estonia and twice for Moldova. The most frequent scoring interval for Estonia is 76-90 minutes (43%), for Moldova - 31-45 (29%) and 76-90 (29%). For goals conceded: Estonia often concedes in the 31-45 and 61-75 minute intervals (25% each), Moldova in the 31-45 minute interval (33%).

Corners Statistics

Both teams are similar in corner statistics: over the last 5 matches, the average is 2.5 corners per game. For over 9.5 corners: Estonia had it twice out of five, Moldova once. The total corners over 8.5 is at odds of 1.80, under is 2.00. For corners outcome, Estonia is the favorite with odds of 1.67.