Prediction for match Estoril — Alverca

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The match between Estoril and Alverca in the Primeira Liga will take place on December 27, 2025. The odds for an Estoril victory are set at 2.29, for Alverca's success at 3.28, and a draw is priced at 3.45. In terms of probability: Estoril is given a 42.34% chance, Alverca 29.56%, and a draw 28.10%. The odds reflect a moderate advantage for Estoril, although Alverca is also considered a competitive side.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Estoril shows the following figures: possession 44.2%, average yellow cards 2.8, fouls 13.2, offsides 1.2. Alverca's averages are: possession 45.2%, yellow cards 2.4, fouls 12.2, offsides 2.2. Estoril's last three matches: 19.12.2025 Estoril - Braga 1-0, 14.12.2025 Famalicão - Estoril 4-0, 07.12.2025 Estoril - Moreirense 3-3. Alverca played as follows: 22.12.2025 Alverca - Porto 0-3, 14.12.2025 Arouca - Alverca 1-0, 07.12.2025 Alverca - Nacional 1-0. In their last head-to-head on 19.07.2025, Estoril lost to Alverca 1-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last 5 matches, Estoril has gone over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. Alverca has only seen over 2.5 goals once in five matches, with four being low-scoring. Estoril's average goals per match is 3.8, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.2 per game. Alverca's average is 1.8 goals per match, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1. In the first half, Estoril went over 1.5 goals three times, while Alverca never exceeded one goal in the first half of their last five games. In the second half, Estoril again went over 1.5 goals three times, while Alverca did so twice. Estoril most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (31%), and Alverca in the final minutes, between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%). Estoril is vulnerable to conceding early (0-15 minutes, 33%) and in the middle of the second half (61-75 minutes, 33%), while Alverca often concedes late (76-90 minutes, 33%). Given Estoril's high scoring rate and Alverca's defensive instability, betting on over 2.25 goals with odds of 1.78 seems a logical choice.

Corner Bets

In their last 5 matches, Estoril averages 6.6 corners, while Alverca averages 4.8. For the frequency of going over 9.5 corners: both teams had three out of five matches ending with 10 or more corners. Among corner totals, the line closest to the sum of average values (11.4) is 11.5: the odds for over 11.5 corners are 3.58, and under 11.5 is 1.21. Estoril is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.65. In this situation, considering a bet on over 9.5 corners or Estoril's individual corner stats, given their high activity in this component, is worth exploring.