Prediction for match Estoril — Arouca, 07.11.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages

The match between Estoril and Arouca in the Primeira Liga of Portugal is scheduled for November 7, 2025. The odds for Estoril to win are 2.00, for a draw - 3.50, and for Arouca to win also 3.50. In terms of outcome probabilities: Estoril is rated at 46.67%, a draw at 26.67%, and Arouca at 26.67%. Based on the odds and percentage distribution, Estoril stands out as the favorite in this matchup, although there is no clear dominance in the odds. Overall, the 1X2 line is quite balanced, suggesting a potential battle throughout the match.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last 5 games, Estoril averages 50.6% possession, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 13 fouls, and has 1.6 offsides per match. Arouca shows 48% possession, 3.4 yellows, 16.4 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. Estoril's last three matches: 01.11.2025 Rio Ave - Estoril 0-4, 26.10.2025 Estoril - Nacional 1-1, 03.10.2025 Casa Pia - Estoril 2-2. Arouca's last three fixtures: 02.11.2025 Arouca - Moreirense 0-2, 25.10.2025 Benfica - Arouca 5-0, 05.10.2025 Arouca - Famalicão 1-1. In their last head-to-head on 16.03.2025, Arouca and Estoril drew 1-1, with the total under 2.5 not breached.

Goals Based on Match Statistics

In a five-match series, Estoril records 2 out of 5 over 2.5 goals, while Arouca has 3 out of 5 over 2.5. By halves, Estoril has 2 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half, 1 out of 5 over 1.5 in the second. Arouca has 2 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half, 4 out of 5 over 1.5 in the second. Average figures: Estoril participates in matches with 2.6 goals, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2 per game, Arouca - 3.2 goals on average, but scores only 0.6, conceding 2.6. Estoril scores evenly across all intervals, 20% in each, but concedes most frequently between 31-45 minutes (38%). Arouca's main percentage of goals scored is between 46-60 minutes (29%), and conceded between 76-90 (33%). Based on this data, it's logical to consider a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.85, given Arouca's low scoring and Estoril's not very high frequency of over totals.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For corners, Estoril averages 4.4 per match, Arouca - 4. In the last 5 matches, both teams have 3 out of 5 over 9.5 total corners. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.91, under 9.5 - 1.80. No clear favorite on corners, but both teams can claim an equal number of corners. Considering the average corner activity and the frequency of over totals, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified for this match.