Prediction for match Estoril — Famalicao, 22.11.2025

Match Analysis: Estoril vs Famalicao

On November 22, Estoril will face Famalicao in the Taça de Portugal. The 1X2 odds are as follows: Estoril win - 2.92, draw - 3.30, Famalicao win - 2.34. Probability-wise: Estoril has a 31.92% chance, draw - 28.25%, and Famalicao is at 39.83%. Based on these numbers, Famalicao is seen as the favorite, although the gap between the teams isn't very large. A double chance bet on 1X is available at 1.55, which might interest those expecting Estoril to avoid defeat in regular time.

Team Stats and Scores

In their last five matches, Estoril averages 50.4% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Famalicao averages 52.8% possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 18.6 fouls, and 1.8 offsides over the same period. Estoril's last three games: 07.11.2025 - Estoril vs Arouca - 4-3, 01.11.2025 - Rio Ave vs Estoril - 0-4, 26.10.2025 - Estoril vs Nacional - 1-1. Famalicao's last three matches: 09.11.2025 - Famalicao vs Porto - 0-1, 01.11.2025 - Nacional vs Famalicao - 0-1, 26.10.2025 - Famalicao vs Vitoria Guimaraes - 2-0. In their last head-to-head on 12.04.2025, Famalicao defeated Estoril 3-0, with the total over 2.5 goals being achieved.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Estoril has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 games, while Famalicao hasn't seen any. On average, Estoril games feature 3.6 goals, with the team scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.4. Famalicao averages 1.2 goals per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.4. By halves: Estoril had over 1.5 goals in the first half in three out of five games, while Famalicao had none. In the second half, Estoril saw over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5, Famalicao in 1 out of 5. Estoril most frequently scores between the 31st-45th (29%) and 46th-60th (29%) minutes, while Famalicao scores most often between the 31st-45th (33%), 46th-60th (33%), and 76th-90th (33%) minutes. In terms of conceding, Estoril allows most goals between 31st-45th (36%), and Famalicao in the same interval (67%). Considering Famalicao's low scoring and solid defense, a bet on Famalicao's individual total under 1.5 at 1.68 seems reasonable. Famalicao hasn't scored more than one goal in any of their last five matches, and Estoril concedes an average of 1.4 goals but kept a clean sheet in two of five games.

Corner Totals Analysis

On average, Estoril takes 6.4 corners per game, while Famalicao takes 7.6 over their last five matches. The frequency of over 9.5 corners: Estoril 4 out of 5, Famalicao 3 out of 5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.60, and under 9.5 is 2.15. Famalicao is the favorite for corners with odds of 2.01. Given the high averages and frequent overs, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified.