Prediction for match Estoril — Vitoria Guimaraes, 24.01.2026

Match Analysis: Estoril vs Vitoria Guimaraes

In the Portuguese Primeira Liga on January 24, Estoril will face Vitoria Guimaraes. The odds for an Estoril win are 2.59, for a Vitoria Guimaraes win - 2.93, and for a draw - 3.28. The probability percentages are as follows: Estoril is rated at 37.40%, a draw at 29.53%, and Vitoria Guimaraes at 33.06%. These figures show that the teams are quite evenly matched, but Estoril has a slight edge according to the odds. The lines also highlight bets on over 2.5 goals at 2.10 and both teams to score: yes at 1.77, indicating a potentially high-scoring encounter.

Team Results and Statistics

In additional metrics, Estoril has averaged 50.2% possession, 13.8 fouls, 2.4 yellow cards, and 1 offside per game over the last five matches. Vitoria Guimaraes has held 52.2% possession, recorded 16.6 fouls, 2 yellow cards, and 2.2 offsides. Estoril's last three matches were: 19.01.2026 Estrela - Estoril 0-5, 03.01.2026 Benfica - Estoril 3-1, 27.12.2025 Estoril - Alverca 4-1. Vitoria Guimaraes' recent matches were: 18.01.2026 Vitoria Guimaraes - Porto 0-1, 02.01.2026 Vitoria Guimaraes - Nacional 2-1, 28.12.2025 Casa Pia - Vitoria Guimaraes 0-0. Their last head-to-head was on 16.08.2025: Vitoria Guimaraes - Estoril 3-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Estoril has shown high scoring in their last five matches, with an average total of 3.8 goals per game, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.6 on average. Vitoria Guimaraes, in the same period, has an average total of 2 goals per game, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.4. Regarding the over 2.5 goals market, Estoril has seen 4 out of 5 matches with three or more goals, while Vitoria Guimaraes has 2 out of 5. By halves, Estoril had 3 out of 5 matches with two or more goals in the first half and the same in the second half, while Vitoria Guimaraes had only 1 out of 5 in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second half. Estoril most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (42%), and Vitoria Guimaraes between the 46th and 60th minutes (50%). In terms of goals conceded, Estoril is most vulnerable between the 61st and 75th minutes (43%), and Vitoria Guimaraes in two intervals: 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (both 38%). Given Estoril's high scoring and Vitoria Guimaraes' not-so-reliable defense, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.10 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Estoril has averaged 5.6 corners over the last five matches, while Vitoria Guimaraes has averaged 4.4. For the over 9.5 corners market, Estoril has seen 4 out of 5 matches exceed this total, while Vitoria Guimaraes has only 1 out of 5. The line closest to the combined average (10) is set at 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.89, under 9.5 at 1.79. For the outcome on corners, Vitoria Guimaraes is favored with odds of 1.94. Considering Estoril's activity in delivering corners and frequent over 9.5 total occurrences, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners. Vitoria Guimaraes can also keep up the pace in this aspect, though their occurrences are less frequent.