Prediction for match Estoril — Rio Ave

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Portuguese Primeira Liga on March 22, Estoril will face Rio Ave. According to the 1X2 odds, Estoril's victory is priced at 1.80, a draw at 4.07, and Rio Ave's win at 4.36. The probability percentages are as follows: Estoril - 53.91%, draw - 23.84%, Rio Ave - 22.25%. Thus, bookmakers consider Estoril the favorite, with a noticeable gap in probability between the teams. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.71, and for both teams to score - 1.61. Options for a low-scoring game are also available: under 2.5 goals is at 2.24, and both teams not to score is at 2.18. This indicates a moderately high-scoring match is expected, but with Estoril having the edge in terms of winning chances.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at Estoril's last three matches, the team played as follows: March 15, 2026 - Nacional vs. Estoril - 0-1, March 7, 2026 - Estoril vs. Casa Pia - 0-0, February 27, 2026 - Sporting Lisbon vs. Estoril - 3-0. In the same period, Rio Ave played these matches: March 15, 2026 - Rio Ave vs. Estrela - 2-1, March 9, 2026 - Tondela vs. Rio Ave - 0-1, March 1, 2026 - Rio Ave vs. Famalicão - 0-0. Over a five-match span, Estoril has an average possession of 55%, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 12.4 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times per game. Rio Ave has 49.6% possession, 3.4 yellow cards, 16.4 fouls, and 0.4 offsides. In their last head-to-head on November 1, 2025, Rio Ave lost to Estoril 0-4. These stats reflect the discipline and playing style of both teams and could influence the dynamics of the upcoming match.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five games, Estoril had over 2.5 goals 3 times and under 2.5 goals 2 times. For Rio Ave, over 2.5 goals occurred 2 times, under 3 times. On average over 5 games, Estoril scores 0.8 goals and concedes 1.4, while Rio Ave scores 0.8 and concedes 0.8. The overall average total goals for Estoril is 2.2, and for Rio Ave, it's 1.6. By halves, Estoril had over 1.5 goals in the first and second halves 2 times out of 5, while Rio Ave did so 1 time out of 5. Looking at time intervals, Estoril most frequently scores late in the match (76-90 minutes, 33%), and Rio Ave scores most often between 16-30 minutes (50%). Meanwhile, Estoril concedes most often early in the game (0-15 minutes, 100%), and Rio Ave between 61-75 minutes (40%). Based on this data, a bet on both teams to score at 1.61 seems justified: both teams show similar scoring stats, and Estoril has surpassed the over 2.5 goals mark 3 out of 5 times, indicating chances at both ends. Support by halves and intervals points to the possibility of both teams finding the net.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

The average number of corners for Estoril over 5 matches is 3.8, and for Rio Ave, it's 5. The frequency of over 9.5 corners for Estoril was 1 out of 5 times, and for Rio Ave, it was 3 out of 5 times. Looking at the odds, over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.70, and under 9.5 at 2.03. For the outcome on corners, Estoril is priced at 1.53. In recent matches, Rio Ave has often earned more corners, which could affect the match dynamics. It makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, given the average stats of both teams and the frequency of over 9.5 for Rio Ave. It's also worth noting that Estoril generally earns fewer corners, but the total number of set-pieces in the match could be high due to Rio Ave's activity.