Prediction for match Estrela — Braga, 03.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The Primeira Liga clash between Estrela and Braga is set for January 3, 2026. Bookmakers have marked Braga as the clear favorite with odds of 1.53, implying a 63.41% chance of victory. A draw is priced at 4.26 (22.77%), while an Estrela win is at 7.02 (13.82%). This spread of odds highlights Braga's significant advantage according to analysts. Options for totals and both teams to score are also available, but the main focus is on a Braga win.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Estrela played as follows: December 27, 2025 - Famalicão vs Estrela - 2-3, December 20, 2025 - Estrela vs Moreirense - 0-0, December 15, 2025 - Porto vs Estrela - 3-1. Braga's recent results are: December 28, 2025 - Braga vs Benfica - 2-2, December 19, 2025 - Estoril vs Braga - 1-0, December 15, 2025 - Braga vs Santa Clara - 1-0. In their head-to-head on January 19, 2025, Estrela lost to Braga 0-1. Over the last five games, Estrela averaged 44.4% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 2 offsides per match. Braga, in the same period, held 60.8% possession, received 2.4 yellow cards, committed 13.2 fouls, and had 1 offside per game.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Estrela shows a strong over-profile in terms of goal-scoring: in their last five matches, four went over 2.5 goals, with an average of 3.4 goals per match. They score 1.4 and concede 2 goals per game. Braga's average total over five matches is 2, with the team scoring 1.2 and conceding only 0.8. Braga went over 2.5 in two of their last five, while Estrela had three of five first halves over 1.5 goals, and two of five second halves. Braga had two first halves over 1.5 goals, and none in the second half. Estrela most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (33%), while Braga scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (100%). Estrela is most vulnerable between the 46th and 60th minutes (60%), and Braga between the 16th and 30th minutes (60%). Given Estrela's high-scoring games and Braga's consistent attacking line, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.94 seems logical.

Corners in the Match

On average, Estrela takes 2.6 corners over five matches, while Braga takes 4.6. Estrela has two out of five matches going over 9.5 corners, while Braga has three out of five. The offered totals for corners include over 9.5 at 2.14 and under 9.5 at 1.62. Braga is favored to win the corner count with odds of 1.29. Overall corner activity isn't the highest, but with Braga involved, a total around 9-10 can be expected. It's optimal to consider Braga's individual corner stats or a total closer to 9.5.