Prediction for match Estrela — Sporting CP

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On April 11, 2026, a Primeira Liga match between Estrela and Sporting CP will take place. According to the 1X2 odds, Sporting CP is the clear favorite with odds of 1.30, reflecting a 74.71% probability of their victory. A draw is priced at 6.67 (14.56%), while Estrela's success is at 9.05 (10.73%). These odds mirror the difference in class and current form of the teams, as confirmed by recent statistics. In their previous encounter on November 30, 2025, Sporting CP thrashed Estrela 4-0.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Estrela lost 0-2 to Nacional on April 4, confidently defeated Casa Pia 4-0 on March 20, and lost 1-2 to Rio Ave on March 15. Sporting CP, in their last three outings, lost 0-1 to Arsenal on April 7, beat Santa Clara 4-2 on April 3, and crushed Alverca 4-1 on March 22. Over a five-match span, Estrela averages 53.4% possession, 2 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 3.8 offsides. Sporting CP averages 60% possession, 2 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on November 30, 2025, Sporting CP secured a dominant 4-0 victory.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Estrela vs Sporting CP Match

In the last five matches, Estrela averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, with a total average of 2.6 goals per match. Sporting CP's stats are significantly higher: 2.6 goals scored, 1.4 conceded, and 4 goals on average per match. Estrela has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 games, while Sporting CP has done so in 4 of 5. In terms of half-time goals, Estrela has seen over 1.5 goals in the first half in only 1 of 5 matches, and over in the second half in 2 of 5. Sporting CP has seen over 1.5 goals in the first half in 2 of 5 matches and over in the second half in 3 of 5. Estrela most frequently scores in the 0-15, 31-45, 46-60, and 61-75 minute intervals (20% each), while Sporting CP scores most often in the 31-45 minute interval (45%). Estrela concedes 67% of their goals in the 61-75 minute range, while Sporting CP concedes 43% in the 76-90 minute range. All this suggests a high-scoring match is likely, with Sporting CP capable of scoring at least twice, and the overall total could be high. A bet on over 2.75 goals is priced at 1.53 and seems optimal given both teams' attacking profiles and frequent overs.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Over the last 5 matches, Estrela averages 5 corners, while Sporting CP averages 6.8. In their last five encounters, Estrela played over 9.5 corners three times, and Sporting CP did so twice. Among the available totals, the line closest to the combined average (11.8) is 11.5. The odds for over 11.5 corners are 3.16, while under is 1.29. Sporting CP is the favorite in terms of corner outcomes with odds of 1.16. The statistics indicate high offensive activity from both teams and frequent corners, making it logical to consider bets on higher corner totals or Sporting CP's advantage in this metric.