Prediction for match Everton — Burnley

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

In the English Premier League on March 3, Everton will face Burnley. According to the 1X2 odds, Everton is the favorite with odds of 1.69, giving them a 58.20% chance of winning. A draw is priced at 3.94, which corresponds to a 24.96% probability. Burnley's victory is valued at 5.84 (16.84%). This setup reflects Everton's advantage based on their current form and recent results. For both teams to score, the odds are yes - 1.87, no - 1.85, indicating a high likelihood of both teams finding the net. The over 2.5 goals market is set at 1.98, and under 2.5 at 1.96, suggesting expectations of a high-scoring game. Individual totals offer Everton over 1.5 at 1.79, Burnley over 0.5 at 1.61. Double chance odds are 1X at 1.17, X2 at 2.30, and 12 at 1.30.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Everton has shown consistent form: on February 28 - Newcastle 2-3 Everton, February 23 - Everton 0-1 Manchester United, February 10 - Everton 1-2 Bournemouth. Also, on February 7, Everton beat Fulham 2-1, and on January 31, they drew 1-1 with Brighton. Burnley, in the same period, played the following matches: February 28 - Burnley 3-4 Brentford, February 21 - Chelsea 1-1 Burnley, February 14 - Burnley 1-2 Mansfield Town, February 11 - Crystal Palace 2-3 Burnley, February 7 - Burnley 0-2 West Ham. In their head-to-head on December 27, 2025, the teams played to a 0-0 draw. Secondary statistics show Everton averages 45.4% possession over five matches, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 11.8 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Burnley has similar stats: 45.4% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 9.8 fouls, and 2 offsides. These figures indicate a similar level of discipline and activity.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Everton vs Burnley Match

Both teams are showing attacking football: Everton's average total goals over five matches is 2.8, Burnley's is 3.8. Everton scores 1.4 goals on average, Burnley 1.6, while conceding 1.4 and 2.2 respectively. Over 2.5 goals occurred 3 times in five games for both teams. Per halves, Everton had over 1.5 goals in the first half once out of five and four times in the second, while Burnley had it three times in the first and twice in the second. Everton most often scores between 31-45 minutes (40%), while Burnley scores in three different periods: 16-30, 31-45, and 46-60 minutes (29% each). For goals conceded, Everton is vulnerable between 61-75 minutes (44%), and Burnley between 31-45 minutes (33%). These data confirm that both teams are capable of scoring and conceding, especially in the second half. The cumulative goal figures and over 2.5 occurrences in recent matches support a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.98.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Everton averages 5.4 corners per match, Burnley 5, totaling 10.4. In a series of five games, Everton exceeded 9.5 corners twice, Burnley four times. The line closest to the average is 9.5 corners: over 9.5 is at 1.77, under 9.5 at 1.94. Everton is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.39. Based on statistics, it makes sense to consider over 9.5 corners, given Burnley's regularity in exceeding this number and both teams' high averages. Additionally, both teams actively use the flanks and deliver a fair number of corners, further supporting the bet on the upper total in this category.