Prediction for match Everton — Chelsea

Match Analysis: Everton vs Chelsea

On March 21, in the English Premier League, Everton will face Chelsea. According to the odds, Chelsea is considered the favorite with a win priced at 2.18, while Everton's victory is at 3.54, and a draw is at 3.66. The probabilities for the outcomes are distributed as follows: 45.22% for a Chelsea win, 27.85% for Everton, and 26.93% for a draw. This reflects Chelsea's higher scoring ability in recent matches and their advantage in attacking metrics. The betting line also includes markets for totals, both teams to score, and individual totals, allowing for an optimal bet based on team statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Everton played as follows: 14.03.2026 Arsenal 2-0 Everton, 03.03.2026 Everton 2-0 Burnley, 28.02.2026 Newcastle 2-3 Everton. During the same period, Chelsea had these results: 17.03.2026 Chelsea 0-3 PSG, 14.03.2026 Chelsea 0-1 Newcastle, 11.03.2026 PSG 5-2 Chelsea. On average, over the last five matches, Everton had 45.2% possession, committed 11 fouls, received 1.2 yellow cards, and had 1.6 offsides per game. Chelsea's numbers are different: 56% possession, 7.8 fouls, 1.4 yellow cards, and 1.2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 13.12.2025, Chelsea defeated Everton 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Everton scored an average of 1.2 goals and conceded 1.4, with an overall average total of 2.6. Chelsea has higher numbers: 2 goals scored, 2.4 conceded, and 4.4 goals on average per game. For over 2.5 goals, Everton had 2 out of 5, while Chelsea had 4 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once for Everton and 4 times for Chelsea. In the second half, both teams had 3 out of 5 for over 1.5 goals. For scoring intervals, Everton most frequently scores between 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (43% each), while Chelsea scores most often between 76-90 minutes (38%). Everton concedes most often between 61-75 minutes (50%), and Chelsea between 31-45 (25%). Given Chelsea's high scoring rate, frequent over 2.5 outcomes, and both teams' activity in the second half, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.88 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Everton averages 5.6 corners per match, while Chelsea averages 6.4. In the last 5 games, the total over 9.5 corners occurred 2 times for Everton and 3 times for Chelsea. The closest average total is 12 (5.6+6.4=12), but the line offers a total of 9.5: over 9.5 is priced at 1.65, under 9.5 at 2.11. Chelsea is the favorite for corners with a 1.85 odds. Based on recent match dynamics, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, given Chelsea's attacking style and Everton's decent stats in this area.