Prediction for match Everton — Leeds, 26.01.2026

Match Analysis: Everton vs Leeds

Everton will face Leeds on January 26, 2026, in the English Premier League. According to the odds, Everton is at 2.59 to win, Leeds at 3.05, and a draw is priced at 3.32. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Everton 38.03%, draw 29.67%, Leeds 32.30%. This indicates that Everton has a slight edge, but the gap isn't significant, promising a competitive match according to the betting lines. Both teams approach the game with similar chances of success, reflected in the bookmakers' odds.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Everton defeated Aston Villa 1-0, thrashed Sunderland 4-1, and drew 1-1 with Wolverhampton. Leeds, in a similar stretch, won against Fulham 1-0, beat Derby County 3-1, and lost to Newcastle 3-4. Over five matches, average ball possession is: Everton 40.4%, Leeds 45.2%. Both teams average 1.2 yellow cards per game, while Everton commits 12 fouls compared to Leeds' 8.2. Leeds is caught offside 2.6 times per match, Everton 0.8. In their last head-to-head on August 18, 2025, Leeds won 1-0 against Everton. These stats show that both teams can put up a fight, with Leeds appearing slightly more active in attacking play, while Everton compensates with defensive discipline.

Goals Based on Match Statistics

The average total goals in Everton's last five games is 2.6, while for Leeds, it's 2.8. Everton scores an average of 1.4 goals, Leeds 1.6, with both teams conceding 1.2. In a series of five matches, only 1 of Everton's games went over 2.5 total goals, compared to 2 out of 5 for Leeds. In the first half, Everton hasn't had any match go over 1.5 total goals, while Leeds had 2 out of 5. In the second half, Everton had 1 out of 5 over 1.5 total goals, Leeds 3 out of 5. Everton most frequently scores in the 76-90 minute interval (50%), while Leeds also tends to score late (76-90, 43%). Everton's most vulnerable period for conceding is 46-60 minutes (33%), for Leeds, it's 31-45 minutes (38%). These data suggest both teams can increase intensity in the second half, with Leeds often finishing strongly. While the frequency of games going over 2.5 total goals isn't high, the average goals and second-half activity make a bet on over 2.0 total goals at 1.62 a reasonable option for this match.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Everton averages 2.4 corners over five matches, Leeds 5. In a series of five games, Leeds had all 5 matches go over 9.5 total corners, compared to 2 out of 5 for Everton. Combining the averages gives 7.4 corners per game. Available corner totals are over 9.5 at 1.83, under 9.5 at 1.92. Everton is favored to win the corner count at 2.05. Considering Leeds consistently racks up corners, while Everton isn't as active in this area, a bet on over 9.5 total corners seems justified. Leeds often hits high numbers in this metric, confirmed by their 5 out of 5 recent match record.