Prediction for match Excelsior — Go Ahead Eagles

Match Analysis: Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles

In the Eredivisie on March 1st, Excelsior will face Go Ahead Eagles. Bookmakers have set the odds for an Excelsior win at 2.48, a draw at 3.50, and a Go Ahead Eagles victory at 2.84. In terms of probability, Excelsior is at 38.73%, Go Ahead Eagles at 33.82%, and a draw at 27.44%. This indicates a slight advantage for Excelsior, but the gap between the teams is not significant. For total goals, the odds are 1.74 for over 2.5 goals and 2.14 for under 2.5 goals. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.55, no at 2.30. Double chance odds are Draw/Away at 1.55, Home/Draw at 1.44, and Home/Away at 1.31. For individual team goals: Excelsior over 1.5 is at 2.11, and Go Ahead Eagles over 1.5 is at 2.29. The most likely exact score, based on the odds, is 1-1 at 6.50.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Excelsior played as follows: on 20.02.2026, Fortuna Sittard defeated Excelsior 2-1, on 14.02.2026, Excelsior lost to AZ Alkmaar 1-2, and on 06.02.2026, Excelsior beat NAC Breda 2-0. Go Ahead Eagles' last three games were: on 22.02.2026, they beat Heracles 4-0, on 15.02.2026, they lost to Feyenoord 1-0, and on 11.02.2026, they were defeated by Heerenveen 3-1. In their last head-to-head match on 26.10.2025, Go Ahead Eagles won 2-0 against Excelsior. Over the last five matches, Excelsior averages 46.6% ball possession, receives 1.2 yellow cards, commits 11.4 fouls, and records 1.2 offsides. Go Ahead Eagles hold the ball 47.8% of the time, receive 1.4 yellow cards, commit 9 fouls, and have 0.4 offsides per game. These numbers indicate a similar style and moderate physicality from both teams.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring, both teams show similar figures. Over a five-match series, Excelsior has an average total goals of 2.4, while Go Ahead Eagles have 2.8. Excelsior scores and concedes 1.2 goals per game, Go Ahead Eagles 1.4. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 out of 5 matches for both teams. By halves, Excelsior has over 1.5 goals in the first half in 2 out of 5 and in the second half in 3 out of 5. For Go Ahead Eagles, there were no over 1.5 goals in the first half but 4 out of 5 in the second half. This highlights both teams' tendency to be more active after the break. Goal intervals show that Excelsior often scores between the 31st and 45th minute (40%) and concedes between the 76th and 90th minute (43%). Go Ahead Eagles most frequently score early in the second half (46-60, 33%) and concede either in this same period (40%) or at the end (76-90, 40%). Overall, both teams have a propensity for over goals, especially in the second half, making the over 2.5 goals bet at 1.74 reasonable. While both teams to score: yes occurs regularly, the total goals bet seems preferable given frequencies and averages.

Corner Totals Analysis

Regarding corners, Excelsior averages 4.4 over a five-match series, while Go Ahead Eagles average 6. In the last five matches, both teams played 3 out of 5 over 9.5 total corners. Adding their average corners (4.4 + 6 = 10.4) suggests the closest total with odds is 10.5. The odds for over 10.5 total corners are 1.92, and under 10.5 is 1.77. For corners outcome, Go Ahead Eagles are favored with odds of 2.01. Considering both teams' average corner activity and the frequency of over 9.5, betting on over 10.5 total corners seems justified, but individual corners totals for Go Ahead Eagles can also be considered.