Prediction for match Excelsior — Heerenveen

Match Analysis: Excelsior vs Heerenveen

On March 7th in the Eredivisie, Excelsior will face Heerenveen. The odds for a Heerenveen win are 2.37, for Excelsior - 2.85, and a draw is priced at 3.72. The probability distribution is as follows: Excelsior - 33.69%, draw - 25.81%, Heerenveen - 40.51%. The line for over 2.5 goals is set at 1.67, highlighting expectations for a high-scoring game. Additionally, both teams to score is at 1.52, further emphasizing the attacking focus of both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Excelsior lost to Go Ahead Eagles 0-1, was defeated by Fortuna Sittard 1-2, and played 1-2 against AZ Alkmaar. Heerenveen recently beat Sparta Rotterdam 2-1, lost to PSV 1-3, and defeated Zwolle 4-2. In their head-to-head meeting on October 4, 2025, Heerenveen was stronger, winning 2-1. On average over five matches, Excelsior holds possession 51.2% of the time, receives 1.2 yellow cards, commits 12 fouls, and has 1.6 offsides per game. Heerenveen averages 43.6% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 9.6 fouls, and 0.6 offsides.

How Many Goals in Excelsior vs Heerenveen

The scoring records of both teams in their last five matches are impressive. Excelsior averages 2.6 total goals, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4 per game. Heerenveen's stats are even higher: 4.4 goals on average, scoring 2 and conceding 2.4. Over five matches, Excelsior has seen over 2.5 goals three times, while Heerenveen has hit this mark in all five. By halves, Excelsior had over 1.5 goals twice in the first half and three times in the second. Heerenveen had over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 first halves and 5 out of 5 second halves. Excelsior most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (40%) and concedes between the 76th and 90th minutes (38%). Heerenveen's attacking peaks are from the 46th to 60th and 76th to 90th minutes (27% each), while they concede most often from the 16th to 30th and 76th to 90th minutes (29% each). Overall, this data indicates a high probability of a high-scoring match, with both teams likely to score, and the second half promising to be particularly eventful. The over 2.5 goals at 1.67 seems a justified bet, considering the consistent outcomes for both sides.

Corner Totals Analysis

On average, Excelsior earns 4.6 corners per game, while Heerenveen gets 2.8. In their last five matches, Excelsior exceeded 9.5 corners twice, and Heerenveen did so three times. Combining their averages gives 7.4 corners per match. The line offers a bet on over 9.5 corners at 1.70 and under 9.5 at 2.01. Heerenveen is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 2.01. Based on statistics, a bet on over 9.5 corners is moderately risky but possible if both teams maintain their attacking styles. It's likely there will be around 8-10 corner kicks in this match.