Prediction for match Excelsior — NEC Nijmegen

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

The match between Excelsior and NEC Nijmegen will take place on April 4, 2026, as part of the Eredivisie championship. The odds for the match outcomes are as follows: NEC Nijmegen to win is at 2.01, Excelsior at 3.44, and a draw at 3.95. In terms of probabilities: NEC Nijmegen has a 47.77% chance, Excelsior 27.91%, and a draw 24.31%. Based on these figures, NEC Nijmegen stands out as the favorite, with a noticeable gap in probability between the teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Excelsior performed as follows: March 20, 2026, Heracles vs. Excelsior 1-1, March 15, 2026, Feyenoord vs. Excelsior 2-1, March 7, 2026, Excelsior vs. Heerenveen 1-2. NEC Nijmegen's results in their last three matches were: March 22, 2026, NEC Nijmegen vs. Heerenveen 2-2, March 14, 2026, PSV vs. NEC Nijmegen 2-3, March 8, 2026, NEC Nijmegen vs. Volendam 3-0. On average over five matches, Excelsior has 52.8% possession, commits 11.4 fouls, receives 1 yellow card, and records 1.4 offsides per game. NEC Nijmegen shows 50.8% possession, 9.6 fouls, 1.2 yellow cards, and 1.4 offsides. In their last head-to-head on August 9, 2025, NEC Nijmegen thrashed Excelsior 5-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Excelsior had over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5, while NEC Nijmegen had this outcome in all 5 matches. The average number of goals in Excelsior's matches is 2.4, with the team scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6 per game. NEC Nijmegen's average total goals per match is 4.4, with 2.6 scored and 1.8 conceded. In the first half, Excelsior never went over 1.5 goals in 5 games, while NEC Nijmegen did so 4 times out of 5. Both teams often play more productively in the second half: Excelsior had over 1.5 goals 3 out of 5 times, and NEC Nijmegen the same. Regarding scoring intervals: Excelsior most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minute (50%), and NEC Nijmegen between the 31st and 45th minute (25%). Conceding-wise: Excelsior is most vulnerable between the 46th and 60th minute (33%), while NEC Nijmegen between the 16th and 30th minute (40%). Considering NEC Nijmegen's high scoring rate, consistent over 2.5 goals in both teams' games, and average second-half productivity, betting on NEC Nijmegen's victory seems logical, given their attacking potential and recent head-to-head successes.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, Excelsior earns 4.2 corners per match, while NEC Nijmegen gets 7.6. In the last five games, the total corners over 9.5 occurred twice for Excelsior and four times for NEC Nijmegen. Considering the total corners, the line closest to the sum of average numbers (11.8) is 9.5, though there are no odds for this total. Overall, based on frequency and averages, an active game in terms of corners can be expected, especially from NEC Nijmegen, who consistently deliver many corners. In the last five matches, NEC Nijmegen surpassed the total corners over 9.5 four times, confirming their tendency for attacking play via the flanks. Excelsior less frequently exceeds 9.5, but on average, they also deliver more than 4 corners per match. Based on this data, betting on total corners over 9.5 seems justified when considering additional options.