Prediction for match Falkirk — Kilmarnock

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In the Scottish Premiership on February 28th, Falkirk will face Kilmarnock. Bookmakers favor Falkirk with odds of 1.72 for a win, 3.90 for a draw, and 4.36 for a Kilmarnock victory. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: 54.48% for Falkirk's success, 24.03% for a draw, and 21.49% for a Kilmarnock win. Based on this data, Falkirk appears to be the more favorable option for a match outcome bet, but the odds on totals and both teams to score also deserve attention, considering Kilmarnock's attacking profile and the recent match statistics of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Falkirk played as follows: 21.02.2026 - Hearts 1-0 Falkirk, 14.02.2026 - Falkirk 2-3 Dundee United, 11.02.2026 - Falkirk 1-0 Dundee FC. During the same period, Kilmarnock recorded these results: 21.02.2026 - Dundee United 1-1 Kilmarnock, 15.02.2026 - Kilmarnock 2-3 Celtic, 11.02.2026 - Kilmarnock 4-3 St. Mirren. In their head-to-head on 20.12.2025, Kilmarnock lost to Falkirk 0-1. Over a five-match span, Falkirk averages 51.6% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Kilmarnock maintains 48.4% possession, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 9.4 fouls, and records 1.6 offsides. These figures reflect a moderately aggressive style for both teams without a clear imbalance in discipline or ball control.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the Falkirk vs Kilmarnock Match

Kilmarnock stands out in terms of scoring: their average total goals over five games is 4.6, with the team scoring 2.2 and conceding 2.4 goals per game. Falkirk's figures are more modest, with an average of 2.4 goals, 1 scored, and 1.4 conceded. Over 2.5 goals has occurred in 2 out of 5 for Falkirk, and 4 out of 5 for Kilmarnock. In the first half, over 1.5 goals happened 2 times for Falkirk and 3 times for Kilmarnock in 5 matches. In the second half, Kilmarnock consistently plays high-scoring games - 4 out of 5 for over 1.5, while Falkirk has 2 out of 5. Falkirk most often scores between the 46th and 60th minute (43%), while Kilmarnock scores between the 76th and 90th minute (25%). Falkirk concedes most frequently between the 16th-30th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each), while half of Kilmarnock's conceded goals come in the final minutes (76th-90th minute - 50%). This data suggests a high likelihood of a high-scoring game, especially in the second half, and supports a bet on over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.78.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average, Falkirk earns 4 corners per match, while Kilmarnock earns 5.2. Over a five-match span, Falkirk exceeded 9.5 corners 3 times, and Kilmarnock 4 times. Among the proposed corner totals, the line of 9.5 stands out: over 9.5 is priced at 1.55, and under at 2.20. In the corner outcome market, Falkirk is favored with odds of 1.46. Given the average activity of both teams and the frequent occurrence of over 9.5 corners, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, as well as to note Falkirk's potential advantage in this statistic.