Prediction for match Famalicao — Arouca

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Primeira Liga on March 6th, Famalicao will face Arouca. According to the 1X2 odds, Famalicao is the favorite with odds of 1.84, giving them a 52.68% chance of winning. A draw is priced at 3.76 (25.78%), while an Arouca victory is at 4.50 (21.54%). The goal total line offers over 2.5 at 1.96 and under 2.5 at 1.92, indicating expectations of an attacking game. Both teams to score: yes - 1.80, no - 1.90. For individual totals: Famalicao over 1.5 at 1.89, Arouca over 0.5 at 1.50. For halves: second half total over 1.5 is at 2.11. Among all bets, over 2.5 goals at 1.96 stands out, considering Arouca's attacking stats and both teams' recent scoring form.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Famalicao averages 51.2% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 14 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Arouca appears slightly more active with 54.6% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Famalicao's last three matches were: 01.03.2026 - Rio Ave vs Famalicao - 0-0; 23.02.2026 - Famalicao vs Casa Pia - 2-0; 15.02.2026 - Sporting Lisbon vs Famalicao - 1-0. Arouca's recent games: 27.02.2026 - Porto vs Arouca - 3-1; 21.02.2026 - Arouca vs Nacional - 3-0; 14.02.2026 - Casa Pia vs Arouca - 3-2. Their last head-to-head was on 05.10.2025: Arouca vs Famalicao - 1-1.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Famalicao - Arouca Match

In their last five matches, Famalicao's average total goals is 2.4, while Arouca's is 4.0, highlighting Arouca's high scoring. For over 2.5 goals: Famalicao has 2 out of 5, Arouca has 5 out of 5. In the first half, Famalicao never exceeded 1.5 goals, while Arouca did so in 2 out of 5. In the second half, Famalicao scored more than 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, Arouca in 4 out of 5. Scoring intervals: Famalicao most often scores between 76-90 minutes (45%), Arouca between 61-75 minutes (25%). Famalicao concedes most between 46-60 minutes (100%), Arouca has three intervals with 25%: 16-30, 31-45, and 61-75. Famalicao's average goals scored is 1, Arouca's is 2.4; goals conceded are 1.4 and 1.6 respectively. All this suggests a high likelihood of a high-scoring match, making a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.96 justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Famalicao averages 4.2 corners per game, Arouca 2.8. In the last five matches, Famalicao exceeded the 9.5 corner total three times, Arouca only once. The corner lines close to the average total (7) is 6.5, but the market offers no odds for over or under 9.5 corners. No clear favorite emerges in the corner market. A cautious bet on under 9.5 corners seems logical given both teams' averages and Arouca's low corner count in recent games. However, Famalicao might increase their wing play, potentially raising corner numbers, especially in the second half if the match takes an attacking turn. Yet, recent stats lean towards a moderate total in this aspect.